The first leg of the Europa League 2024/25 playoff between TSC Backa Topola (Serbia) and Jagiellonia (Poland) will take place on February 13 at the TSC Arena. TSC Backa Topola vs. Jagiellonia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
TSC Backa Topola
Jovan Damjanovic's team recently defeated Armenian side Noah 4-3 at home in the Conference League. This victory was only the second for TSC Backa Topola in the overall stage, but in both wins, the Serbians scored four goals. As a result, the team accumulated seven points and climbed to the 24th position, the last one that grants a playoff spot. Notably, TSC Backa Topola conceded 13 goals in the overall stage, with only three teams having a worse record.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 3 of their last 4 Conference League matches (2 wins, 1 draw).
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in the club's last five matches in this European competition.
- The Serbians have conceded at least two goals in regular time in 4 of their last 5 Conference League outings.
Predicted lineup for TSC Backa Topola (3-4-3)
Veljko Ilic – Nemanja Petrovic, Stefan Jovanovic, Mateja Djordjevic – Ifet Djakovac, Petar Stanic, Stefan Jovanovic, Milan Radin – Milos Pantovic, Aleksandar Cirkovic, Prestige Mbungu
Jagiellonia
In the last round of the overall stage, Adrian Semenec's side could not overcome Olimpija Ljubljana at home (0-0). As a result, Jagiellonia failed to win for the third consecutive Conference League match (2 draws, 1 loss), although they started this tournament with three victories. Moreover, this outcome prevented the Polish team from securing a top-eight finish in the standings and advancing directly to the round of 16. Consequently, the team, sitting in ninth place, moved to the playoffs.
Defenders Michal Sacek and Adrian Dieguez, as well as midfielder Aurelien Nguyamba, will miss the game due to suspension.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 5 of their last 6 Conference League matches (3 wins, 2 draws).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 90 minutes in 4 of the team's last 5 matches in this European competition.
- No more than one goal was scored in the first half in 5 of Jagiellonia's last 6 Conference League games.
Predicted lineup for Jagiellonia (4-3-3)
Slavomir Abramovic – Dusan Stojinovic, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Cezary Polak, Michal Sacek – Kristoffer Hansen, Jaroslaw Kubicki, Rui Correia – Afimico Pululu, Jesus Imaz, Lamine Diaby-Fadiga.
Referee
Antonio Nobre (Portugal)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
TSC Backa Topola vs. Jagiellonia: Match Prediction
In their debut season in the Conference League, the Serbians have tried to showcase their best side, favoring attacking football. However, this style often compromised their defense, as TSC Backa Topola failed to keep a clean sheet in all six matches of the overall stage. Furthermore, they conceded fewer than two goals in only two games in the current Conference League campaign.
Jagiellonia will likely try to exploit the Serbian defensive weaknesses. Especially considering how the Polish club performed creatively in the overall stage: they scored ten goals in their first four matches and only relaxed afterward, knowing their playoff spot was secure. Notably, Jagiellonia players have scored at least twice against experienced European clubs like Copenhagen and Molde in this Conference League edition.
I believe the Polish side will have good attacking opportunities in this encounter and will score at least two goals. My prediction: Jagiellonia Individual Total Over 1.5
