The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Turkey and Wales in Group 4 of League B will take place on November 16 at the RHG Enerturk Energy Stadium in Kayseri. Turkey vs. Wales: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera (Switzerland)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2022/23–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 14%.
Predicted lineups for Turkey vs. Wales
Turkey (4-2-3-1): Mert Gunok – Ferdi Kadioglu, Merih Demiral, Abdulkadir Bardakci, Mehmet Zeki Celik – Hakan Calhanoglu, Orkun Kokcu – Arda Guler, Yunus Akgun, Kerem Akturkoglu – Baris Yilmaz.
Wales (3-5-2): Daniel Ward – Neco Williams, Joe Rodon, Ben Davies – Connor Roberts, Harry Wilson, Jordan James, Joe Allen, Sorba Thomas – Brennan Johnson, David Brooks.
Turkey
In the last round, Vincenzo Montella's side overcame Iceland on their turf (4-2). This victory marked Turkey's third consecutive win in the Nations League, allowing them to maintain their lead in the group with ten points. Moreover, the team will secure early promotion to League A if they defeat the Welsh. Notably, Turkey has scored eight goals in this Nations League campaign, trailing only Austria (11) and Greece (9) in League B.
Forward Kenan Yildiz will not play due to suspension.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last seven home matches in the Nations League (5 wins, 2 draws).
- At least four goals were scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Turkey's last 7 home matches in this tournament.
- Turkey has scored at least twice in regular time in 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Nations League.
Wales
Craig Bellamy's side defeated Montenegro 1-0 at home in the last round. As a result, Wales extended their unbeaten run in the Nations League to four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). The eight points earned in this tournament allow the team to occupy the second spot in the group. If Wales wins both remaining matches, they will secure the top spot in the group and move up to League A.
- The team has not won in regular time in 4 of their last 5 away matches in the Nations League (1 draw, 3 losses).
- Wales scored exactly one or two goals in 90 minutes in six of their last away matches in this tournament.
- Both opponents scored in regular time in five of Wales' last away matches in the Nations League.
Turkey vs. Wales: Match Prediction
In home matches, Turkey prefers an open style with a clear focus on attacking football. As a result, the team scores regularly and in large numbers: Turkey's current home scoring streak in the Nations League stands at seven matches, with the team scoring at least twice in six of them. However, Turkey's defense is not always reliable: in their last ten home matches in this tournament, the team has kept a clean sheet only three times.
Wales exhibits a similar style: the team spends a lot of time in attack, making defensive errors. In their last six away matches in the Nations League, Wales has scored, and in three of those, they scored twice. However, in five of their last away matches in this tournament, Wales has also conceded, and only once in this period did they concede fewer than two goals.
I expect a high-scoring game from both sides, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes