The quarter-final match of the first stage of the Regional Path of the FONBET Russian Cup between Tyumen and Krasnodar will take place on November 26 at the Geolog Stadium. Tyumen vs. Krasnodar: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Ranel Ziyakov (Russia)
Matches – 5 (Russian Cup, 2022/23–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 7;
Average yellow cards per match – 1.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Predicted lineups for Tyumen vs. Krasnodar
Tyumen (4-4-2): Stanislav Kritsyuk – Stanislav Poroykov, David Shavlokhov, Artem Voropaev, Mikhail Sukhoruchenko – Denis Tkachuk, Islam Mokaev, Andrey Savinov, Ilya Petukhov – Kirill Kosarev, Olivier Kenfak.
Krasnodar (4-3-3): Yuri Dyupin – Yuri Gazinsky, Georgy Arutyunyan, Kaio, Lucas Olasa – Nikita Krivtsov, Danila Kozlov, Kevin Castaño – Moses Kobnan, Fyodor Smolov, Olakunle Olusegun.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Tyumen
Igor Menshchikov's side advanced to the quarter-finals of the Regional Path by defeating Chelyabinsk (2-0), Alania (0-0, on penalties 4-3) and thrashing Amkar 3-0 in the previous round. Notably, this is the first time in the 21st century that Tyumen has kept a clean sheet in three consecutive matches in the national cup. The team last faced a Russian Premier League representative in the Russian Cup during the 2018/19 season, narrowly losing to Orenburg.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in Tyumen's last 6 matches in this tournament.
- At home in the national cup, the club has not lost in 4 of their previous 5 matches (2 wins and 2 draws in regular time).
- In 7 of their last 9 home matches in the Russian Cup, Tyumen has not conceded more than one goal.
Krasnodar
For two consecutive years, Krasnodar has finished third in the group stage of the national cup. Although this tournament started well for Murad Musayev's side with three consecutive 1-0 victories, the team then suffered three defeats and ultimately lost the second spot to Akhmat on tiebreakers. Additionally, Krasnodar scored only 4 goals – the fewest in their group, and among all participants in the RPL Path, only Fakel had a worse tally (2).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of Krasnodar's last 7 matches in the Russian Cup.
- The club has not drawn in 10 consecutive away matches in this tournament (4 wins, 6 losses).
- In 5 of their last 7 away matches in the national cup, Krasnodar has conceded at least one goal.
Tyumen vs. Krasnodar: Match Prediction
The underdog of the First League unexpectedly defeated the recent championship leader away from home in the last round. Such a result will surely boost Igor Menshchikov's side's confidence, helping them perform admirably against a formidable opponent. Moreover, Tyumen has been performing well at home in the national cup, avoiding defeat in regular time in 17 of their last 22 matches (9 wins, 8 draws). Only one of these defeats was by a large margin, despite hosting teams like CSKA and Zenit.
Krasnodar's superiority in class is evident. However, Murad Musayev has regularly rotated the squad in the Russian Cup. It is unlikely that the head coach's approach will change in the lower bracket of the tournament, especially since the team is competing for top honors in the RPL, with a crucial match against an in-form Spartak coming up.
In Krasnodar's last 23 away matches in the national cup, they have only one victory with a margin greater than two goals. This is another factor supporting the prediction – Tyumen with a handicap (+2)