The Serie A Matchday 27 clash between Udinese Calcio and Associazione Calcio Fiorentina will take place on 2 March at the Dacia Arena. Udinese Calcio vs Associazione Calcio Fiorentina: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Udinese Calcio
Last round’s defeat to Bologna (0:1) was Udinese Calcio’s third in a row and their 12th of the season. After 26 matches, Kosta Runjaic’s side sit 11th in the Serie A standings with 32 points. There is no talk of European qualification, but relegation is not a threat either, so the campaign is once again shaping up to be trophyless. Even against the backdrop of fairly mediocre results, there have been a few positives. One of them was the recent game against Roma, when the home team not only won, but also managed to score against one of the league’s most reliable defences, while keeping a clean sheet. Overall, though, it has been a season without any standout features — a typical mid-table performance: 28 goals scored and 39 conceded.
- In their last 10 home matches in the Serie A, the team have recorded four wins (two draws, four defeats).
- At home, the hosts have scored in six of their last seven league games.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 11 of the club’s 13 home matches this season.
Potential Udinese Calcio Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Maduka Okoye – Nicola Bertola, Thomas Kristensen, Umar Soule – Arthur Atta, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Jordan Zemura, Jesper Karlstrom, Lennon Miller, Kingsley Ehizibue – Vakoun Bayo
Defenders Hassane Kamara, Alessandro Zanoli and Jakub Petrovsky, as well as forward Keinan Davis, will miss the match through injury.
Associazione Calcio Fiorentina
Unlike their opponents, the Florentines have won their last two matches, and in the previous round they edged past Pisa at home (1:0). In addition, the club’s scoring run in the league has now reached nine games. However, they kept a clean sheet for the first time in their last nine matches in this competition. Thanks to this positive spell, Paolo Vanoli’s men have climbed out of the relegation zone, although Associazione Calcio Fiorentina are level with Lecce and sit above them only on tie-breakers.
- In six of the Florentines’ last eight away matches in the league, both teams have found the net.
- The team have failed to win eight of their last 10 away matches in the Serie A (two draws, six defeats).
- Associazione Calcio Fiorentina have conceded in their last 10 away matches in this competition.
Potential Associazione Calcio Fiorentina Lineup (4-3-3)*
David De Gea – Fabiano Parisi, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Dodo – Marco Brescianini, Nicolo Fagioli, Albert Gudmundsson – Manor Solomon, Moise Kean, Rolando Mandragora.
Defender Tariq Lamptey and forward Albert Gudmundsson will miss out through injury. Midfielder Rolando Mandragora is suspended.
Referee
Luca Pairetto (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 46;
Yellow cards per match – 5.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 50%.
Udinese Calcio vs Associazione Calcio Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Given the current state of the two sides, there is a sense this will be a cautious game. Udinese Calcio look unstable right now: a run of poor results usually brings a loss of confidence, and with no real objectives in the table it is harder to find extra motivation. Still, the home side should not be underestimated: they have already beaten Roma and Napoli this season, keeping clean sheets on both occasions, and they lost to Inter only by the narrowest of margins. It is clear the team can pull themselves together and defend well. However, their attacking output has not been great: in only one of their last eight of nine home matches in the Serie A have they scored more than once.
As for the visitors, they come into the match with a more positive trend: the club have won their last two league fixtures and have also come through a round in the Conference League. It is also worth highlighting Associazione Calcio Fiorentina’s first clean sheet in a long time. In attack, Paolo Vanoli’s men have been fairly consistent, but the upcoming match will surely be affected by fatigue from the extra European workload.
It is also notable that no more than two goals have been scored in seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings at Udinese Calcio’s ground in the Serie A. We also do not expect the upcoming match to be a high-scoring affair.
Prediction: Under 3 goals
* Each team’s listed starting XI is from their previous match in this competition.
