The Matchday 6 clash in the Regional Path of the FONBET Russian Cup 2025/26 between Ufa and Neftekhimik will take place on October 30 at the Neftyanik Stadium. Ufa vs. Neftekhimik: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Ufa
Omari Tetradze's side defeated Yenisey on penalties (1-1, 5-3 on penalties) in the previous round. However, the team has not won in regulation time in their last nine Russian Cup matches (6 draws, 3 losses). Additionally, Ufa has conceded in five consecutive games in this tournament. It's worth noting that the club has not advanced past the 5th round of the national cup for two years, and they haven't reached the 6th round since the 2022/23 season.
- No more than two goals have been scored in Ufa's last seven matches in the national cup.
- At home in this tournament, the club has not lost in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 8 games (3 wins, 3 draws).
- In 6 of their last 8 home games in the Russian Cup, Ufa has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Ufa (3-5-2)
Aleksei Chernov – Alan Khabalov, Konstantin Troyanov, Evgeny Shlyakov – Migran Ageyan, Aleksei Baranovsky, Alexander Lukyanov, Zalimkhan Yusupov, Filip Mrzljak – Ilya Karpuk, Osman Minatulaev.
Neftekhimik
The Nizhnekamsk side defeated Shinnik on penalties (1-1, 5-3 on penalties) in the previous stage. Notably, a draw in regulation time has been recorded in Neftekhimik's last three national cup matches. The club has scored in 5 of their last 7 games in this tournament but has also conceded in 8 of their last 11 Russian Cup matches. Reaching the 6th round is Neftekhimik's best achievement in the 21st century.
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 national cup games.
- Away in this tournament, Neftekhimik has not lost in 90 minutes in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
- Neftekhimik has scored in 4 of their last 5 away games in the Russian Cup.
Predicted lineup for Neftekhimik (3-4-3)
Nikolay Prisyazhnenko – Nikolay Tolstopiatov, Dmitry Shadrintsev, Magomed Musalov – Danila Sukhomlinov, Georgi Kantaria, Denis Mikhailov, Sultan Dzhamilov – Daniil Rodin, Kirill Moiseev, Islam Mashukov.
Referee
Matvey Zaika (Russia)
Matches – 7 (Russian Cup and Second League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 100%.
Ufa vs. Neftekhimik: Match Prediction
The opponents met in the recent First League round, delivering an uncharacteristic goal-fest. The match ended with a 3-2 victory for Ufa. This was only the second time in their last 10 official encounters that more than two goals were scored. In the upcoming match, I wouldn't expect a repeat of such high-scoring action. The statistics of the opponents don't suggest it, and both managers have already announced squad rotations.
Ufa generally struggles with converting chances: the club has not scored more than one goal in their last 8 Russian Cup games. However, during this period, only a Premier League representative managed to score twice against Ufa. Neftekhimik also looks modest in attack, scoring more than once in only one of their last 6 national cup matches. Even away in this tournament, the team has shown solid defense: in their last six games, Neftekhimik has only had to retrieve the ball from their net three times.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
