The 16th-round the Bundesliga match between Union Berlin and Mainz will take place 10 january at An der Alten Försterei stadium in Berlin. Union vs Mainz: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Union Berlin
In the last round Union Berlin were stronger than Köln on their ground (1:0). Thus, the home side registered their second consecutive league win for the first time this season. At the same time the club kept a clean sheet only for the fourth time in their last 20 Bundesliga matches. The club also extended its scoring run in the league to six matches. In the standings the home side sit in eighth place with 21 points.
- The team have not lost in 6 of their last 8 home Bundesliga matches (3 wins, 3 draws).
- The club conceded in 9 of their previous 11 home league matches.
- The home side failed to score more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches.
Potential Union Berlin Lineup (3-4-3)*
Frederik Rønnow – Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite – Rani Khedira, Christopher Trimmel, Aljoscha Kemlein, Derrick Köhn – Ilyas Ansah, Jeong Woo-yeong, Oliver Burke.
Midfielder Robert Skov is injured.
Mainz
In the last round Mainz drew with St. Pauli at home (0:0). As a result, the visiting team extended their winless run in the Bundesliga to 11 matches (4 draws, 7 defeats). However, the club kept a clean sheet for the first time in 26 league matches. On the other hand, the visiting team failed to score in four of their last six Bundesliga matches. In the standings Mainz have eight points and sit at the bottom. It is worth noting that the club, together with St. Pauli and Heidenheim, have scored the fewest goals this season (13 goals).
- The club have not won in 6 of their last 7 away Bundesliga matches (2 draws, 4 defeats).
- The team failed to score more than one goal in 5 of their previous 7 away league matches.
- Mainz conceded in their last 13 away Bundesliga matches.
Potential Mainz Lineup (5-4-1)*
Daniel Batz – Danny da Costa, Kacper Potulski, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer – Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung, Kayshu Sano, Nadiem Amiri – Benedikt Hollerbach.
Defender Antony Caci will miss the match due to injury. It is noted that the club have signed forwards Silas Mvumpa and Phillip Tietz.
Referee
Bastian Dankert (Germany)
Matches – 5 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards (including second yellows) – 17;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 3.4;
Red Cards – 1;
Fouls Average Per Match – 23;
Penalties – 0%.
Union Berlin vs Mainz: Match Prediction
The home side often achieve positive results at their ground while showing quality in attack. Over the last 13 home Bundesliga matches Union Berlin finished scoreless only three times, and on seven occasions during this period they scored at least twice. In particular, during this span the club scored four goals against Stuttgart, three against Leipzig and two against Bayern.
Mainz's defensive play leaves much to be desired, and away from home the visiting team rarely manage to contain opponents' attacks. In their last 13 away league matches the club failed to keep a clean sheet even once, and in seven of those games Mainz conceded at least two goals. It is also worth noting that in five of the last head-to-head meetings at Union Berlin the visiting team allowed the opponent to score at least twice.
We expect a productive attacking performance from the hosts.
Prediction: Union Berlin Over 1 goal
* For each team the starting lineup from their previous match in this competition is shown.
