The Matchday 25 clash in La Liga between Valencia and Atletico Madrid will take place on February 22 at the Mestalla Stadium. Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Valencia
Valencia has managed to avoid defeat in three consecutive league matches for the first time this season. The team secured home victories against Celta (2-1) and Leganes (2-0), and also drew away with Villarreal (1-1) in the last round. Carlos Corberan's side climbed to 18th place, trailing Las Palmas, who are just above them, only on goal difference. Notably, only two clubs have conceded more goals than Valencia in the current La Liga season.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Valencia's last 9 league games.
- At least two goals were scored in 8 of the club's last 9 La Liga matches.
- The number "1" appeared in the final scoreline in 10 of Valencia's last 12 La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Valencia (4-2-3-1)
Giorgi Mamardashvili – Cesar Tárrega, José Luis Gayà, Dimitri Foulquier, Cristhian Mosquera – Pepelu, Javi Guerra – Luis Rioja, Diego López, André Almeida – Hugo Duro.
Defender Thierry Correia remains unavailable due to injury.
Atletico Madrid
Diego Simeone's side did not capitalize on Real Madrid's slip-up, as they also drew their last match. Playing almost the entire game with a man down, Atletico settled for a 1-1 draw with Celta at home. This was the third 1-1 draw in their last four La Liga games, with a win against Mallorca (2-0) in between. As a result, the club is just one point behind Real Madrid and Barcelona. Notably, Atletico boasts the best defense in La Liga, having conceded only 16 goals.
- The club has not lost in 12 of their last 13 league matches (9 wins and 3 draws).
- The number "1" appeared in the final scoreline in 7 of Atletico's last 8 La Liga matches.
- No more than two goals were scored in Atletico's last six La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – José María Giménez, Javi Galán, Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand – Pablo Barrios, Rodrigo De Paul, Giuliano Simeone, Samuel Lino – Antoine Griezmann, Julián Álvarez.
Midfielder Pablo Barrios is suspended for this game.
Referee
Mateu Busquets Ferrer (Spain)
Matches – 13 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 76;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.9;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 31%.
Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
Atletico Madrid has a strong track record against Valencia in the league. In the last 20 head-to-head encounters, Atletico has lost only once, securing 13 wins and 6 draws. Moreover, Atletico has won five of the last six La Liga meetings with Valencia. Additionally, Atletico has scored two or three goals in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters in La Liga.
Diego Simeone's side needs to break their recent run of poor results in the league, where they have collected only 6 points from five matches. Fortunately, their rivals have also dropped valuable points in recent rounds. Despite Valencia's success in their last three league games, they are unlikely to pose a significant challenge to one of La Liga's top teams. This season, Valencia has played five matches against the top four and lost all of them.
My prediction: Atletico Madrid to win