The Matchday 7 clash in La Liga between Valencia and Oviedo will take place on September 30 at the Mestalla Stadium. Valencia vs. Oviedo: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Valencia
After a home victory over Athletic (2-0), Valencia drew 2-2 with Espanyol in the last round. Notably, the team managed to score more than one goal in two consecutive matches for the first time in the current championship. However, Valencia still has a negative goal difference in the current La Liga season – 8:10, with only Girona (16) and Levante (13) conceding more. It is also important to mention that Valencia has only conceded once at home this season and remains unbeaten (2 wins, 1 draw).
- One opponent failed to score in 7 of Valencia's last 10 matches in La Liga.
- The team has won 9 of their last 13 home games in this tournament (2 draws, 2 losses).
- No more than 2 goals have been scored in 6 of Valencia's last 8 home matches in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Valencia (4-4-2)
Julen Agirrezabala – Jose Luis Gaya, Cesar Tárrega, Mouctar Diakhaby, Dimitri Foulquier – Diego Lopez, Pepelu, Baptist Santamaria, Luis Rioja – Arnaut Danjuma, Hugo Duro.
Oviedo
The club suffered their 5th defeat since returning to La Liga (1 win), losing 1-3 to Barcelona in the previous match. With three points from six matches, the team is in the relegation zone of the Spanish championship table, occupying the 18th position. Oviedo has the worst goal-scoring record in the tournament, having scored only twice. It is also worth noting that Veljko Paunović's side is one of the two teams in the current championship, along with Real Madrid, that has yet to draw a match.
- One opponent failed to score in 5 of Oviedo's 6 matches in the current La Liga season.
- The club lost all 3 away matches in the current championship without scoring.
- The team has not scored in the second half of any match since returning to La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Oviedo (4-4-2)
Aaron Escandell – Rahim Alhassan, David Carmo, Eric Bailly, Lucas Ahijado – Ilias Chair, Alberto Reina, Leander Dendoncker, Haissem Hassan – Salomon Rondon, Santi Cazorla.
Defenders Álvaro Lemos and Nacho Vidal are injured.
Referee
Ricardo De Burgos (Spain)
Matches – 21 (La Liga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 73;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 14%.
Valencia vs. Oviedo: Match Prediction
Valencia has been impressive at home in the current championship, and I do not believe the match against the underdog will be an exception. The club won their last two home games in La Liga without conceding, with a total score of 5-0. Oviedo, on the other hand, has only scored twice in six matches since returning to the top flight, both at home, and lost all three away games without scoring, with a total goal difference of 0-5. Furthermore, in last season's Segunda, the club was significantly less effective in attack away from home, scoring 22 goals compared to 34 at their home stadium.
I do not see how Oviedo can change the situation in a game against a Valencia side that looks excellent at Mestalla. The hosts are not only strong in attack in the current La Liga season but also extremely reliable in defense, having conceded only once. This is unlikely to inspire optimism among the visiting fans. I doubt that Oviedo, with such a weak attack, will even manage to score against Valencia. Meanwhile, I am confident the hosts will find the net, as they have scored in 8 of their last 9 home matches in La Liga.
Therefore, I consider the optimal betting choice to be – "Valencia to win to nil"
