Matchday 6 of the 2024/25 UEFA Europa Conference League group stage sees Vitória Guimarães (Portugal) take on Fiorentina (Italy) on December 19 at the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Vitória Guimarães vs. Fiorentina: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Referee: Eugjen Xhaja (Albania)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 40%.
Predicted lineups for Vitória Guimarães vs. Fiorentina
Vitória Guimarães (4-3-3): Bruno Varela – João Mendes, Mikel Villanueva, Oscar Rivas Viondi, Alberto Costa – João Sabino Mendes, Jorge Silva, Tiago Rafael Silva – Nuno Santos, Nelson Oliveira, Gustavo Cunha.
Fiorentina (4-3-3): Tommaso Martinelli – Fabiano Parisi, Luca Ranieri, Lucas Martinez Quarta, Michael Kayode – Amir Richardson, Rolando Mandragora, Jonathan Ikoné – Riccardo Sottil, Moise Kean, Christian Kouamé.
Each team’s starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Vitória Guimarães
In the last round of the Conference League, the team defeated St. Gallen 4-1. This victory marked the fourth win for Rui Borges' side in the 2024/25 Conference League group stage. Successful results in previous matches have secured them the second spot in the standings, trailing the top position by two points and leading their closest competitor, Fiorentina, by just one point. Notably, the Portuguese team remains unbeaten in the 2024/25 Conference League (10 wins, 1 draw).
- The club has won in regular time in 7 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament.
- Vitória has scored at least two goals in their last five home games in the Conference League.
- The team has scored first in their last five home matches in the Conference League.
Fiorentina
In Matchday 5 of the Conference League group stage, Raffaele Palladino's side thrashed LASK 7-0. The club has lost just once in regular time in their last seven Conference League matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Fiorentina is in third place in the standings, with their closest competitor, Legia, trailing only on goal difference. Notably, the club has scored 17 goals in five group stage matches of the Conference League, a tally bettered only by table-toppers Chelsea.
- Fiorentina has avoided defeat in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away matches in this tournament (3 wins, 5 draws).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 4 of Fiorentina's last 5 away games in the Conference League.
- The team has scored at least twice in 4 of their last 5 matches in the Conference League.
Vitória Guimarães vs. Fiorentina: Match Prediction
The Portuguese club has been scoring regularly in the Conference League, finding the net in their last 11 matches in this tournament. Their defense has also looked solid, but only in the qualifying rounds. However, during the group stage, Rui Borges' side has conceded in every match. As a result, both teams have scored in Vitória Guimarães' last five games in this tournament.
Raffaele Palladino's side also faces no issues in attack, having scored in their last seven Conference League matches. In their last two games in this tournament, the Italians have found the net 10 times: first scoring three against Pafos (3-2) and then hammering LASK 7-0. However, their defense has been less reliable, as Fiorentina has conceded in 5 of their last 7 matches in this tournament.
I believe both teams will score in the upcoming match. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
