The Matchday 5 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Young Boys (Switzerland) and Atalanta (Italy) will take place on November 26 at the Wankdorf Stadium in Bern. Young Boys vs. Atalanta: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Manfredas Lukjancukas (Lithuania)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 61;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 36%.
Predicted lineups for Young Boys vs. Atalanta
Young Boys (4-4-2): David von Ballmoos – Lewin Blum, Ali Camara, Loris Benito, Jaouen Hadjam – Joel Monteiro, Sandro Lauper, Cheikh Niasse, Alan Virginius – Silvère Ganvoula M'Boussy, Filip Ugrinic.
Atalanta (3-4-3): Marco Carnesecchi – Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Rafael Toloi – Raoul Bellanova, Mario Pasalic, Marco Brescianini, Marten de Roon – Ademola Lookman, Charles De Ketelaere, Mateo Retegui.
Young Boys
In the last round, Joel Magnin's side suffered a 1-2 defeat to Ukrainian side Shakhtar. As a result, Young Boys lost their fourth consecutive Champions League match, but for the first time during this stretch, they managed to score. The Swiss team has not earned any points in the group stage and is ahead of only Crvena Zvezda and Slovan in the standings due to a better goal difference.
Defenders Patrick Pfeiffer, Tanguy Zaku, Saidy Janko, and Mohamed Camara, as well as midfielder Miguel Changa Chaywa, will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club has lost in regular time in 4 of their last 6 home matches in the Champions League.
- The team conceded in the second half in 7 of their last 9 home games in this European competition.
- The number "3" has appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 6 of Young Boys' last 8 home matches in the Champions League.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side defeated German team Stuttgart 2-0 away in the last round. As a result, the team secured only their second win in eight recent Champions League matches, but they remain unbeaten in this tournament's current edition (2 wins, 2 draws). Atalanta has eight points and is ninth in the standings. Notably, the Italians are among only two clubs that have not conceded in the group stage and are one of four teams to have collected maximum points in away matches.
Defenders Berat Djimsiti, Sead Kolasinac, and Davide Zappacosta, as well as forward Gianluca Scamacca, will miss the game due to injuries. Midfielder Ederson Lourenco is suspended.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 11 away matches in the Champions League (7 wins, 2 draws).
- The club scored exactly two or three times in 90 minutes in their last five away matches in this European competition.
- The Italians scored first in regular time in their last five away matches in the Champions League.
Young Boys vs. Atalanta: Match Prediction
The high level of competition in the Champions League prevents the Swiss team from achieving significant success. Their defensive play suffers the most: even at home, Young Boys rarely manage to cope with opponents' attacks. In their last 20 home matches in the Champions League, the club kept a clean sheet only twice, and on ten occasions during this period, they conceded at least two goals in regular time. In this tournament's current edition, including qualifiers, Young Boys have conceded six goals in three home matches.
Atalanta favors creativity and active play upfront. The team's scoring ability, even in away matches, is impressive: in their last 12 away encounters in the Champions League, the Italians breached the opponents' defense by the end of 90 minutes. Moreover, in nine matches during this period, the Bergamaschi scored at least two goals in regular time.
Notably, in the 2020/21 season, the teams met in the Champions League group stage, and Gian Piero Gasperini's side scored three goals at Young Boys' ground. I believe the Italians will perform well in attack this time too, so my prediction: Atalanta individual total over 2 goals