The quarter-final match of the 2025 World Ice Hockey Championship between Canada and Denmark will take place on May 22 at the Jyske Bank Boxen in Herning. Canada vs. Denmark: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Canada
Canada topped Group A at the World Championship after seven matches, narrowly edging out Sweden by one point. They were the highest-scoring team in their group with a total of 34 goals and also had the best defensive record, conceding only 7 goals. Nathan MacKinnon was the top scorer for Canada and the second overall in the tournament with 7 goals and 6 assists, closely followed by another team leader, Travis Konecny, with 3 goals and 9 assists.
Canada last failed to progress past the quarter-finals of the World Championship in 2014. Notably, in 2024, after reaching the semi-finals, the team, for the first time in six years excluding the year the tournament was canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic, did not secure a medal, losing in the bronze medal game.
- No more than six goals were scored in regulation time in 6 of Canada's last 9 World Championship matches.
- The team did not concede more than one goal in regulation time in 6 of their last 7 games in this World Championship.
- Canada scored at least five goals in regulation time in 5 of their last 6 World Championship games.
Denmark
Denmark secured a spot among the leaders of Group B at the last moment by defeating Germany in their seventh match of the tournament, surpassing them by just one point. Denmark concluded the group stage with a four-game winning streak (one win via shootout). Nick Olesen stood out for Denmark, becoming the team's top scorer with nine points (3 goals, 6 assists) in seven games.
Denmark reached the playoffs for the first time since 2016, where they were eliminated by Finland at this stage. Historically, Denmark has never won a medal at the World Championship.
- At least six goals were scored in regulation time in 5 of Denmark's last 6 World Championship games.
- The team scored at least five goals in regulation time in 3 of their last 4 World Championship matches.
- Denmark won in regulation time in 3 of their last 4 World Championship games.
Canada vs. Denmark: Match Prediction
Canada predictably performed well in the group stage of the World Championship, emerging as one of the highest-scoring teams in the tournament, which was expected given their roster. With these credentials, Canada is now aiming for the gold medal, making the quarter-final unlikely to be a significant challenge, especially considering the level of their opponent, for whom reaching the playoffs already seems like a significant achievement.
In the current tournament, Canada won with a margin of at least four goals in regulation time in 5 of their 7 matches. Similarly, they defeated Denmark by the same margin in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head encounters at the World Championship.
Canada boasts a very strong lineup that proved its worth in the group stage. Even on paper, Denmark clearly falls short compared to their opponent, not to mention in terms of form. I cannot imagine what Denmark could do to trouble Canada, especially now that they have something to lose.
My prediction: Canada with a handicap of (-3.5)