The Matchday 4 clash in the 2025 World Junior Championship between Canada and Germany will take place on December 29 at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. Canada vs. Germany: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Canada
In a surprising turn, Canada lost their opening match of the tournament to Latvia in a shootout, 2-3. Despite having one of the most offensive and skilled rosters in the tournament, the team failed to convert any of their shootout attempts and conceded on the eighth. Notably, Canada led twice in the game and had nearly double the shot attempts compared to their opponents. In Group A's standings, Canada is in second place with four points.
Matthew Schaefer is out for the remainder of the tournament after breaking his collarbone in the last match.
- Canada has won by at least five goals in regulation time in 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches in the World Junior Championship.
- At least six goals have been scored by Canada over three periods in 5 of their last 7 encounters in this tournament.
- No more than seven goals have been scored in regulation time in 6 of Canada's last 8 matches in the World Junior Championship.
Germany
Germany suffered their second consecutive defeat in the tournament, losing 1-3 to Finland in their second match. Germany scored their only goal midway through the game, reducing the deficit before conceding an empty-net goal late in the third period. Currently, Germany has the worst defense in their group, allowing 13 goals. They remain the only team in their group yet to earn a point and are at the bottom of the standings.
- At least eight goals have been scored in regulation time in 4 of Germany's last 5 matches in the World Junior Championship.
- No more than six goals were conceded over three periods by Germany in 6 of their last 7 games in this tournament.
- No more than two goals have been scored in the first period in 5 of Germany's last 7 matches in the World Junior Championship.
Canada vs. Germany: Match Prediction
Canada's loss in their opening match to Latvia was surprising. Such situations often serve as a wake-up call, and I believe this unexpected defeat will positively impact the team, making a second upset unlikely.
Canada has a strong roster, and the problem in the last match was the opponent's goaltender, as their own offensive activity was convincing. The issue was with execution, which was surprising given that Canada has one of the most potent attacking lineups in the tournament. However, considering how many goals Germany concedes, this should not be a concern in the upcoming match. Germany averages at least six goals against in the current World Junior Championship, and Canada has scored at least this many in regulation time in 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches in this tournament.
I expect to see Canada's offensive potential in the upcoming match. After the loss to Latvia, they will be eager to prove they are still leaders, so I anticipate a high scoring performance from Canada.
My prediction: Canada Individual Total Over 6