The match between Canada and the USA in the 2025 Four Nations Tournament will take place on February 16 at the Bell Centre in Montreal. Canada vs. USA: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Canada
Canada began the tournament with a victory over Sweden (4-3 in OT). The team scored on the power play in the first minute, with Nathan MacKinnon netting one of the fastest goals in the history of NHL-sanctioned international tournaments. By the start of the third period, Canada led by two goals, but they conceded twice in the remaining time. Nevertheless, their victory in overtime was well-deserved, considering their shot activity, which was twice that of their opponent, and the quality of their shots. After two days of play, Canada is in second place with two points.
Sidney Crosby stands out as the most productive player for Canada, assisting teammates three times. Notably, with Crosby in the lineup, Canada has not lost in 26 consecutive international matches. Currently, the Canadian captain is among the top three scorers of the tournament (0+3).
Shea Theodore suffered an upper-body injury in the first match of the tournament and will miss the remaining games.
- Canada has scored at least three goals in regulation time in 6 of their last 9 meetings at the Olympics, World Championships, and World Cup.
- The team has won 13 of their last 15 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships (3 in OT).
- At least six goals have been scored in regulation time in 10 of Canada's last 13 matches in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships.
- Canada has conceded at least three goals in regulation time in 4 of their last 5 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships.
USA
The USA defeated Finland 6-1 in their first match of the Four Nations Tournament. Surprisingly, the team conceded first, despite outshooting their opponent nearly two-to-one in the first 20 minutes. By the start of the third period, the USA led by just one goal but scored two quick goals within 11 seconds and added two more after that. Matthew Tkachuk was the most productive player for the USA, earning three points (2+1), and is currently among the top three scorers of the tournament. The team leads the standings and is the highest-scoring team so far.
- The USA has scored at least three goals in regulation time in 4 of their last 6 meetings at the Olympics, World Championships, and World Cup.
- The team has won in regulation time in 5 of their last 6 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships.
- At least six goals have been scored in regulation time in 8 of the USA's last 11 matches in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships.
- The USA has won the third period in 7 of their last 8 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships.
Canada vs. USA: Match Prediction
Canada played as expected among the tournament's main favorites in their first match. High speed, quality power plays, cohesive play, and skilled forwards are the main characteristics of Canada after their first match in this tournament. Frankly, there are no weak points in Canada's game, and they remain one of the main contenders for the final.
The USA also met expectations. At times, the team played compactly, creating quick attacks, and the Tkachuk brothers shone, having been united by the coaching staff during the match. Overall, the USA's attack, as expected, impressed.
The upcoming match will feature the strongest teams in the tournament, as Sweden and Finland lag behind in several aspects. Considering the roster of each team and their attacking performance in the first matches, it seems unlikely that the teams will play a defensive game. In their last three meetings at the Olympics and World Championships, the opponents have scored at least six goals in regulation time. The level of skill in both teams is very high, and I believe that the two most exciting attacking teams in this tournament will deliver goals.
My prediction: Total over 5.5 goals
Jordan Binnington
Adin Hill
Sam Montembeault
Devon Toews
Drew Doughty
Josh Morrissey
Thomas Harley
Travis Sanheim
Anthony Cirelli
Brad Marchand
Connor McDavid
Mitchell Marner
Sam Reinhart
Seth Jarvis
Sidney Crosby
Adam Fox
Brock Faber
Zach Werenski
Jake Sanderson
Brock Nelson
Dylan Larkin
J.T. Miller
Jack Hughes
