Finland vs. Canada in the 2025 Four Nations Tournament will take place on February 17 at the TD Garden in Boston. Finland vs. Canada: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Finland
Finland secured their first victory in the tournament by defeating Sweden 4-3 in overtime in their last match. The Finns had to come from behind twice, and they clinched the win with their first shot in overtime. Notably, Patrik Laine was the standout player, providing two assists. This victory keeps Finland's hopes of reaching the tournament final alive, provided they can defeat Canada. Currently, Finland is third in the standings with two points.
- Finland has scored at least two goals in regular time in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches at the World Championship.
- The team has not lost after three periods in 6 of their last 10 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championship (3 wins, 3 draws).
- No more than six goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of Finland's last 8 matches in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championship.
Canada
Canada has yet to win in regular time in this tournament. In their last match, they lost 1-3 to the USA. Connor McDavid scored Canada's only goal in the 6th minute, opening the scoring for the team. It is worth noting that both teams accrued 36 penalty minutes combined. Currently, Canada is second in the standings with two points, level with Finland and Sweden.
There is uncertainty regarding Cale Makar's participation in the upcoming game, as he missed the previous match due to illness.
- Canada has not scored more than three goals in regular time in 7 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters at the Olympics and World Championship.
- The team has not won in 60 minutes in their last four matches in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championship (2 draws, 2 losses).
- No more than six goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of Canada's last 7 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championship.
Finland vs. Canada: Match Prediction
While Canada's defeat to the USA wasn't entirely unexpected, they fell short in terms of goals scored. Despite their movement in the first two periods, they raised questions in the final third, playing a disappointingly basic game. At times, it felt like the Americans were a step ahead tactically, and Canada struggled to keep up, risking missing out on the tournament final, which would be disastrous given their lineup.
Finland, on the other hand, pleasantly surprised. Despite having the weakest defense in the tournament, they showed resilience and unexpectedly maintained a chance for the final. The team excels on counterattacks, but their strength lies in their mentality. They are aware of their weaknesses but are prepared for anything, which is their ace in the hole.
Nevertheless, with all due respect to Finland and their tenacity, I can't believe Canada won't make the final. The game against the USA surely shook John Cooper's squad, and missing out on the final to a team with a weaker lineup seems inexplicable. I believe Canada will regroup and resolve all issues skillfully. In the last two head-to-head meetings at the World Championship, Canada managed to beat Finland in regular time. My prediction: Canada to Win