The match of matchday 4 at the 2026 World Junior Championship between Finland and Czech Republic will take place on 29 december at 3M Arena Mariucci in Minneapolis. Finland vs Czech Republic: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Finland National Team
The Finland national team beat Latvia 8:0 in their previous tournament match, a shutout and their second consecutive victory at the current World Junior Championship. Niklas Nyquri (0+3) and Heikki Ruohonen (1+2) each recorded three points for the side. At the moment Finland is the highest-scoring team in the tournament with 14 goals, while also being the most reliable defensively with just 2 goals conceded. In Group B the team occupy first place, and in their group they are the only side so far to have taken the maximum points.
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- Finland scored at least three goals in regulation time in each of their last eight World Junior Championship matches.
- The team has won 7 of their previous 8 matches at this tournament (2 in overtime).
- At least six goals were scored after three periods in 6 of the last 7 World Junior Championship games involving Finland.
Czech Republic National Team
The Czech Republic beat Denmark 7:2 in their previous tournament match, claiming their first victory at the current World Junior Championship. Note that the team converted the power play three times in that game. The most productive player was defenseman Tomas Galvas, who earned three points (1+2). After three matchdays the Czech Republic have three points and sit third in their group. Also note that after Finland they are the second highest-scoring team at the current World Junior Championship, with 12 goals to their name.
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- The Czech Republic scored at least three goals in regulation time in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head World Junior Championship meetings.
- The team has won 7 of their previous 10 matches at the World Junior Championship (1 on penalties).
- At least six goals were scored after 60 minutes in 9 of the Czech Republic's last 11 World Junior Championship games.
Finland vs Czech Republic: Match Prediction
Finland have been pleasantly surprising at the current World Junior Championship, and although they have yet to face the stronger teams in their group, their statistics are impressive. Finland are the highest-scoring team in the tournament and on average find the net seven times per game. Czech Republic are also convincing in attack and have not scored fewer than five goals in regulation time at this tournament so far. At the same time their defense is far from the most reliable, so Finland should be able to find an approach to the opponent, but given that this is the first opponent of roughly equal strength for them, we doubt they will be able to play as solidly as in the two previous matches.
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We note that in Finland's last 5 World Junior Championship matches and in 9 of the Czech Republic's previous 11 games at the same tournament at least six goals were scored in regulation time. We also add that in the three most recent head-to-head meetings at the World Junior Championship the opponents scored at least this number after 60 minutes.
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Both attacks are quite convincing, so we do not expect a low-scoring game.
Prediction: Over 5.5 goals