The meeting of the 4th match day of the 2026 World Junior Championship between the Germany national team and the Sweden national team will take place on 29 December at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul. Germany vs Sweden: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Germany
In the previous match of the tournament the Germany national team lost to Slovakia 1:4, suffering a second consecutive defeat. The only goal for the Germany side in that game was scored by Dastin Vilhelf already in the third period; at the moment he is the top scorer of the team (1+2). Note that the Germany side are the most conceding team in their group, with 10 goals against. After three match days the side has failed to collect any points and occupies the last place in Group A.
- Germany scored at least three goals in regulation time in 3 of their last 4 matches at the World Junior Championship.
- The side did not concede more than four goals after three periods in 5 of their previous 6 matches at this tournament.
- No more than seven goals were scored in regulation time in 5 of Germany’s last 6 games at the World Juniors.
Sweden
The Sweden national team are unbeaten so far at the tournament and have won both matches in regulation time. In the previous meeting the side beat Switzerland 4:2. For Sweden we highlight Lucas Pettersson, who scored a brace and became the most productive player for his team in that match. Note that Sweden has already converted the power play three times at this World Junior Championship. Together with the United States they are the most reliable side in their group, having conceded just four goals in total. The Sweden side have the maximum number of points at the moment in their group and are second in Group A, behind only the United States with the same number of points.
- Sweden did not score more than four goals in regulation time in their last six matches at the World Junior Championship.
- The side conceded at least two goals after 60 minutes in seven previous matches at the World Juniors.
- At least two goals were scored in the first period in 5 of Sweden’s last 8 games at the World Juniors.
Germany vs Sweden: Match Prediction
The Sweden side look even so far at this World Junior Championship; however, given that they faced not the strongest opponents at the start, their attack is not impressive and they have scored only seven goals in total. Moreover, the match against Switzerland yesterday was not the easiest for Sweden, and the meeting with Germany will be their second in a row, so we would not expect a rout from that side. Germany, for its part, has not lost by more than three goals at this tournament, and this despite having already faced the skilful and attacking United States. So far the Germany side have only defeats on the board, but they do not look hopeless.
In the last six matches at the World Juniors Germany did not lose by more than three goals in regulation time, while Sweden failed to win by such a margin in seven previous matches at the tournament. In addition, in 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings at the World Juniors Germany did not lose to the opponent by more than two goals after three periods.
We believe Sweden will not expend excessive energy and will be restrained, especially since they have not played spectacularly in attack at this tournament, so we expect Germany unlikely to lose heavily. We predict: Germany (+3.5).
Prediction: Germany (+3.5)