The Matchday 6 clash in Group A of the 2025 World Championship between Latvia and Sweden will take place on May 14 at the Avicii Arena in Stockholm. Latvia vs. Sweden: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Latvia
Harijs Vitolins' team triumphed over Slovenia (5-2) in their last tournament match. Latvia only began scoring in the second period, having been a goal behind. Eduards Tralmaks was the standout performer, recording three points (1 goal, 2 assists). Notably, after Canada and Sweden, Latvia is the third-highest scoring team in their group with ten goals and currently sits in third place with six points.
- At least seven goals have been scored in regulation time in 5 of Latvia's last 7 World Championship matches.
- The team has scored at least two goals in 60 minutes in 5 of their last 6 World Championship games.
- Latvia has won 7 of their last 11 World Championship matches (3 in OT, 1 by shootout).
Sweden
Sweden secured their third regulation-time victory of the tournament by defeating Finland (2-1) in their previous match. By the game's midpoint, they were two goals ahead, having capitalized on a power play. Sweden nearly doubled Finland's shot count (41:19). With the maximum points possible, Sweden is second in Group A, being one of the most reliable (3 goals conceded) and productive (11 goals scored) teams.
- Sweden has not scored more than three goals in regulation time in 5 of their last 7 World Championship encounters.
- The team has won with at least a two-goal margin at the end of three periods in 10 of their last 13 World Championship games.
- Sweden has not conceded more than one goal in regulation time in 5 of their last 8 World Championship matches.
Latvia vs. Sweden: Match Prediction
Sweden has been consistently strong in this World Championship, with three consecutive victories. Their defense is notably reliable, averaging less than one goal conceded per game. Offensively, Sweden ranks second in their group, though they score just enough to secure wins. I expect Sweden to face little trouble against Latvia, as has been the case in most head-to-head encounters.
Sweden has won 5 of their last 6 World Championship meetings in regulation time, often with at least a one-goal margin. However, after losing to Latvia in the 2023 quarter-finals, Sweden will be highly motivated, and the match is unlikely to be as forgiving for Latvia. Meanwhile, Latvia has lost by at least two goals in regulation time in 4 of their last 7 World Championship matches.
I believe Sweden will take all points but expect them to do so with at least a two-goal advantage. My prediction: Sweden with a handicap (-2)