IIHF World Championship
12th game day
Sweden
MATCH FINISHED
20 May
3
:
5
Canada

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Sweden vs Canada: prediction & betting odds May 20, 2025

The Matchday 12 encounter in Group A of the 2025 Ice Hockey World Championship between Sweden and Canada will take place on May 20 at the Avicii Arena in Stockholm. Sweden vs. Canada: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Sweden

The Swedes secured their sixth consecutive victory in regulation time, shutting out France in their last match (4-0). The team outshot their opponents by more than double and converted one power-play opportunity. Isaac Lundestrom (1+1) and Lucas Raymond (1+1) each tallied two points. Sweden leads Group A with 18 points and has conceded only three goals in total during this World Championship, the best defensive record among all teams in the tournament.

  • Sweden has scored at least two goals in regulation time in 5 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters at the World Championship.
  • No more than six goals have been scored in total over three periods in Sweden's last seven games at the World Championship.
  • The team has won in regulation time in their last seven matches at the World Championship.

Canada

Canada suffered their first defeat of the tournament, losing to Finland (1-2 in a shootout) in their last game. The team scored their only goal in the second period while shorthanded, with Ryan O'Reilly as the scorer. Notably, Canada nearly doubled their opponent in shot attempts but failed to reach four goals for the first time in this World Championship. In their group, Canada is the highest-scoring team (29 goals), currently sitting in second place, two points behind the leader.

  • Canada has not scored more than three goals in regulation time in 9 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings at the World Championship.
  • The team has won in regulation time in 5 of their last 6 previous matches at the World Championship.
  • At least five goals have been scored in regulation time in 4 of Canada's last 5 matches at the World Championship.

Sweden vs. Canada: Match Prediction

Canada surprised in their last match by failing to score more than one goal despite high shot activity, even with the most skilled lineup in this World Championship. Sweden, in terms of execution, will not give Canada many opportunities in their upcoming match, as they have the strongest defense in this tournament. Expecting high scoring is not reasonable this time. Although Sweden is the second-highest scoring team in their group, they are likely to be restrained and will capitalize on as much as the opponent allows.

The motivation for both teams in the upcoming game is clear: Sweden will want to maintain their lead, while Canada will attempt to claim the top spot in the group at the last moment. Therefore, both teams are expected to play cautiously, and given that they have the strongest defenses in their group, this will come to the forefront. In 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings at the World Championship, no more than six goals were scored in regulation time. Similar scoring was observed in all of Sweden's games in the current tournament and in 3 of Canada's last 4 matches in this World Championship. I believe the teams will not play with the highest execution.

My prediction: Total under 6

Sweden vs Canada Odds

DOUBLE CHANCE

IIHF World Championship: previous matches of the tournament

Sweden
05/17/25
France
Sweden
W
05/16/25
Sweden
Slovenia
W
05/14/25
Latvia
Sweden
W
05/12/25
Finland
Sweden
W
05/10/25
Sweden
Austria
W
05/09/25
Sweden
Slovakia
W
More games
Canada
05/19/25
Canada
Finland
1
:
1
1
:
2
S
LS
05/17/25
Canada
Slovakia
W
05/15/25
Canada
Austria
W
05/13/25
Canada
France
W
05/11/25
Latvia
Canada
W
05/10/25
Slovenia
Canada
W
More games

Head-to-Head: Sweden β€” Canada

4 Nations Face-Off 2025
02/12/25
Canada
Sweden
4
:
3
1
:
0
OT
IIHF World Championship 2024
05/26/24
Sweden
Canada
IIHF World Championship 2022
05/26/22
Sweden
Canada
3
:
4
0
:
1
OT
Olympic Games 2022
02/16/22
Sweden
Canada
2
:
0
Channel One Cup 2021-2022
12/17/21
Canada
Sweden
3
:
1
IIHF World Championship 2020
05/16/20
Canada
Sweden
GAME CANCELLED
Karjala Cup 2017
11/10/17
Canada
Sweden
0
:
2
IIHF World Championship 2017
05/21/17
Canada
Sweden
1
:
1
0
:
2
S
IIHF World Championship 2016
05/19/16
Canada
Sweden
6
:
0
IIHF World Championship 2015
05/05/15
Sweden
Canada
4
:
6
IIHF World Championship 2014
05/17/14
Sweden
Canada
3
:
2
1
:
0
OT
Olympic Games 2014
02/22/14
Sweden
Canada
0
:
3
IIHF World Championship 2013
05/15/13
Canada
Sweden
2
:
2
0
:
1
S
05/08/13
Sweden
Canada
0
:
3
IIHF World Championship 2011
05/08/11
Canada
Sweden
3
:
2
IIHF World Championship 2010
05/15/10
Sweden
Canada
3
:
1
IIHF World Championship 2009
05/07/09
Canada
Sweden
3
:
1
IIHF World Championship 2008
05/15/08
Canada
Sweden
5
:
4
IIHF World Championship 2007
05/11/07
Canada
Sweden
4
:
1
IIHF World Championship 2006
05/19/06
Canada
Sweden
4
:
5
IIHF World Championship 2005
05/06/05
Canada
Sweden
4
:
5
More games

Group stage

G — Games W — Wins in regulation time WO — Wins in overtime WS — Wins in post-game shootout L — The losses in the main time LO — Losses in overtime LS — Losses in the post-game shootout P — Pucks P — Points
Group A
Team
G
G
W
W
WO
WO
WS
WS
L
L
LO
LO
LS
LS
P
P
P
P
1
Canada
  5:3 1:2(S) 5:1 7:1 7:0 4:0 5:0 7 6 0 0 0 0 1 34:7 19
2
Sweden
3:5   2:1 4:2 6:0 5:0 4:0 4:0 7 6 0 0 1 0 0 28:8 18
3
Finland
2:1(S) 1:2   2:1 2:1 2:1 9:1 4:3(OT) 7 4 1 1 1 0 0 22:10 16
4
Austria
1:5 2:4 1:2   6:1 3:2(S) 3:2(S) 5:2 7 2 0 2 3 0 0 21:18 10
5
Latvia
1:7 0:6 1:2 1:6   5:1 5:2 4:1 7 3 0 0 4 0 0 17:25 9
6
Slovakia
0:7 0:5 1:2 2:3(S) 1:5   3:1 2:1 7 2 0 0 4 0 1 9:24 7
7
Slovenia
0:4 0:4 1:9 2:3(S) 2:5 1:3   3:1 7 1 0 0 5 0 1 9:29 4
8
France
0:5 0:4 3:4(OT) 2:5 1:4 1:2 1:3   7 0 0 0 6 1 0 8:27 1

Team Rosters

M β€” Minutes P β€” Pucks A β€” Assists P β€” Points
Sweden

Sam Hallam
coach
Player M P A P
In squad
Samuel Ersson
gk. 3 -2 0 0
Yacob Markstrem
gk. 3 -1 0 0
Arvid SΓΆderblom
gk. 0 0 0 0
Adam Larsson
df. 6 1 2 3
Erik Gustafsson
df. 6 0 6 6
Jonas Brodin
df. 6 3 4 7
Marcus Pettersson
df. 6 0 3 3
Rasmus Andersson
df. 6 1 2 3
Simon Edvinsson
df. 6 0 1 1
Gabriel Carlsson
df. 1 1 0 1
Rasmus Sandin
df. 0 0 0 0
Alexander Wennberg
fw. 6 1 2 3
Anton Bengtsson
fw. 6 1 1 2
Elias Lindholm
fw. 6 6 4 10
Emil Heineman
fw. 6 1 1 2
Filip Forsberg
fw. 6 0 2 2
Isac LundestrΓΆm
fw. 6 1 3 4
Jesper Froden
fw. 6 0 2 2
Leo Carlsson
fw. 6 1 3 4
Lucas Raymond
fw. 6 2 5 7
Mika Zibanejad
fw. 6 4 0 4
Marcus Johansson
fw. 5 1 2 3
Mikael Backlund
fw. 5 1 4 5
Max Friberg
fw. 1 0 0 0
William Karlsson
fw. 0 0 0 0
Canada

Dean Evason
coach
Player M P A P
In squad
Marc-Andre Fleury
gk. 3 -3 0 0
Jordan Binnington
gk. 2 0 0 0
Dylan Garand
gk. 1 0 0 0
Brandon Montour
df. 6 2 7 9
Jared Spurgeon
df. 6 0 0 0
MacKenzie Weegar
df. 6 0 1 1
Mike Matheson
df. 6 0 2 2
Noah Dobson
df. 6 1 3 4
Ryker Evans
df. 6 0 1 1
Travis Sanheim
df. 6 0 1 1
Adam Fantilli
fw. 6 0 0 0
Barrett Hayton
fw. 6 1 1 2
Bo Horvat
fw. 6 4 4 8
Brayden Schenn
fw. 6 0 1 1
Kent Johnson
fw. 6 2 1 3
Macklin Celebrini
fw. 6 2 2 4
Nathan MacKinnon
fw. 6 6 3 9
Phillip Danault
fw. 6 0 2 2
Ryan O’Reilly
fw. 6 1 1 2
Sidney Crosby
fw. 6 4 4 8
Travis Konecny
fw. 6 3 4 7
Will Cuylle
fw. 6 2 2 4
Tyson Foerster
fw. 5 1 1 2
Porter Martone
fw. 0 0 0 0
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