The match between Sweden and Finland in the 2025 Four Nations Tournament will take place on February 15 at the Bell Centre in Montreal. Sweden vs. Finland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Sweden
In the opening match of the Four Nations Tournament, Sweden fell to Canada in overtime with a score of 3-4. The team started poorly, managing only three shots on goal in the first period, and only fully engaged in the game during the second half. Jonas Brodin opened the scoring for Sweden in the 30th minute, but the team was again forced to close a two-goal deficit. In overtime, Canada outshot Sweden two to one and was closer to victory in terms of quality. Notably, Sweden only surpassed Canada statistically in blocked shots (25-15). Lucas Raymond stood out, earning two points by assisting teammates twice. After two days of play in the tournament, Sweden is in third place with one point.
- Sweden has not scored more than three goals in regular time in their last four head-to-head meetings at the Olympics and World Championships.
- The team has won after three periods in 8 of their last 11 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships.
- At least six goals have been scored in regular time in 8 of Sweden's last 11 matches in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships.
Finland
Finland suffered a heavy defeat in their first match of the tournament against the USA (1-6). The team looked evenly matched with the Americans for almost two periods but started the third with two goals conceded just 11 seconds apart. Finland fell short in physical play, losing almost two to one (16-25). Additionally, their opponent capitalized on two of Finland's five penalties. The only goal for Finland, opening the scoring in the match, was scored by Henri Jokiharju. In the tournament standings, Finland is in last place with no points.
- Finland has not scored more than two goals in regular time in 8 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings at the Olympics, World Championships, and World Cup.
- The team has lost 5 of their last 6 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships (1 in OT).
- No more than five goals have been scored in regular time in 5 of Finland's last 7 matches in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships.
Sweden vs. Finland: Match Prediction
Despite the heavy defeat against the USA, Finland played quite well in the first half of the match, and after 40 minutes, it seemed unlikely the result would be so lopsided. Finland simply couldn't sustain their play in the third period, and their game fell apart in the opening seconds. For Sweden, the situation was the opposite in their first match. It seemed the team took time to figure out how to effectively play against Canada, eventually getting into the game. Sweden showed character, and despite trailing Canada by two goals, they weren't deterred. Therefore, the team can certainly count their first match as a positive, as taking at least a point from Canada is a significant achievement.
Sweden looks like the favorite in the upcoming match. The team had more time before the game against Finland to think through their actions and prepare. Additionally, the game against Canada showed that Sweden doesn't have glaring weaknesses like Finland, whose main issue was predictably their defense, which can't withstand pressure from opponents for the entire match. Relying on the goalkeeper in such a situation is doubtful.
In 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings at the Olympics, World Championships, and World Cup, Sweden has beaten Finland (1 in OT, 2 in shootouts). Furthermore, Sweden has 9 wins in their last 11 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championships (1 in OT). Considering that, at least psychologically, Finland will find it challenging to prepare for the next match due to the tight schedule, I lean towards Sweden. There is a risk that the team might not earn points against the USA, so they will do everything to win now.
My prediction: “Victory for Sweden in the match”
Filip Gustavsson
Linus Ullmark
Samuel Ersson
Erik Karlsson
Gustav Forsling
Mattias Ekholm
Rasmus Dalin
Victor Hedman
Rasmus Andersson
Adrian Kempe
Elias Lindholm
Elias Pettersson
Filip Forsberg
Jesper Bratt
Lucas Raymond
Mika Zibanejad
William Nylander
Leo Carlsson
William Karlsson
Esa Lindell
Olli Maatta
Artturi Lehkonen
Joel Armia
Mikael Granlund
Mikko Rantanen
Teuvo Teräväinen
Kaapo Kakko
