The final of the 2025 Nations Cup between the USA and Canada will take place on February 21 at the TD Garden in Boston. USA vs. Canada: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
USA
After the group stage, the Americans finished first, earning six points from three matches. The team secured their place in the final early by defeating Finland (6-1) and Canada (3-1). The USA lost to Sweden in a match where only 11 forwards were listed, and Auston Matthews and Matthew Tkachuk were absent. During the game, Brady Tkachuk, one of the team's top scorers, was injured. However, according to the head coach, all three are expected to participate in the final match. As a precaution, the team called up forward Tage Thompson and defenseman Brett Pesce, who will play only if key players are lost to injury.
In the tournament, the USA conceded only four goals, the best record. Jake Guentzel stands out in the American lineup, leading the tournament in goals with three. Zach Werenski is also notable, with five assists making him the top playmaker of the Nations Cup.
- The USA has scored at least three goals in regular time in 5 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings in the Nations Cup, Olympics, and World Championships.
- The team has never conceded more than two goals in 60 minutes in the Nations Cup.
- No more than five goals have been scored in regular time in 5 of the USA's last 8 matches in the Nations Cup and World Championships.
- The team has won after three periods in 6 of their last 8 games in the Nations Cup and World Championships.
Canada
In the current tournament, Canada managed to defeat Finland in regular time (5-3). Before that, the team only won against Sweden in overtime (4-3) and lost to the USA (1-3). After the group stage, Canada ranked second, earning a total of five points. Sidney Crosby stands out in the Canadian lineup, leading the tournament in scoring with five points (1 goal, 4 assists). Notably, Canada has scored 10 goals in total across three matches, sharing the title of the most productive team with the USA.
- Canada has not scored more than three goals in regular time in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head meetings in the Nations Cup, Olympics, and World Championships.
- At least six goals have been scored after three periods in 5 of Canada's last 7 games in the Nations Cup and World Championships.
- Canada has conceded at least three goals in regular time in 5 of their last 7 games in the Nations Cup and World Championships.
- The team has not won after 60 minutes in 4 of their last 5 matches in the Nations Cup and World Championships (2 draws, 2 losses).
USA vs. Canada: Match Prediction
In the match against Finland, Canada quickly killed the intrigue. The team punished the opponent for mistakes, but it should be noted that in the third period, Canada created problems for themselves. Compared to their upcoming opponent, the team does not seem to be the favorite, especially since in the recent head-to-head meeting, the USA players managed to neutralize Canada's strengths. Canada seemed to struggle against a closed door, finishing that game with only one goal.
It may seem that Canada's advantage is that the USA lost their last game in the tournament. However, it should be noted that before the previous match, the USA had already secured their place in the final, so I believe the team acted wisely and managed their energy effectively. I think the USA's loss to Sweden does not say much.
The Americans have appeared more prepared in this tournament. Psychologically, they look better, are nearly perfect physically, and maintain concentration. Their attack seems even more stable than Canada's. Considering how well the USA played against this opponent in their head-to-head meeting, I will choose them. It is also worth noting that in 5 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings in the Nations Cup, Olympics, and World Championships, the USA celebrated success (1 by shootout). I believe the USA's chances of winning are high.
My prediction: USA to win the match
Connor Hellebuyck
Jake Oettinger
Jeremy Swayman
Adam Fox
Brock Faber
Jaccob Slavin
Noah Hanifin
Zach Werenski
Jake Sanderson
Brock Nelson
Dylan Larkin
J.T. Miller
Jack Hughes
Jake Guentzel
Auston Matthews
Matthew Tkachuk
Tage Thompson
Jordan Binnington
Sam Montembeault
Devon Toews
Drew Doughty
Travis Sanheim
Connor McDavid
Sidney Crosby
