The quarter-final match of the 2025 World Championship between the USA and Finland will take place on May 22 at the Avicii Arena in Stockholm. USA vs. Finland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
USA National Team
The Americans finished second in the group stage, trailing the leaders Switzerland by two points, suffering their only defeat of the tournament against them. In terms of goals scored, the USA was second only to the Czechs, finding the net 34 times. Highlighting Frank Nazar, who was the team's top scorer with 11 points, he also ranked among the top five scorers in the current World Championship (6 goals, 5 assists).
It is worth noting that a year ago, after three consecutive victories in the World Championship quarter-finals, the USA could not overcome this barrier. They were defeated without scoring by the eventual world champions, the Czechs (0-1). The last time the Americans reached the podium was in 2021 when they won bronze.
- The USA has not scored more than three goals in regular time in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head World Championship encounters.
- The team has won at the end of three periods in 5 of their last 7 World Championship games.
- At least five goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of the last 7 World Championship matches involving the Americans.
Finland National Team
Finland secured third place in Group A after seven matches in the current World Championship. In terms of goals scored, they were behind only Canada and Sweden, netting 22 goals, while also being the most reliable in defense, conceding just ten goals. The team suffered their only defeat against Sweden and won two more times beyond regular time. Teuvo Teravainen stood out for Finland, earning nine points (1 goal, 8 assists), placing him among the top three assist leaders at the end of the group stage.
It is noteworthy that Finland has not reached the semi-finals in the last two World Championships. A year ago, they lost to the eventual bronze medalists in overtime in the quarter-finals.
- Finland has scored at least two goals in regular time in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head World Championship meetings.
- The team has won 6 of their last 7 World Championship games (1 in overtime, 1 in shootouts).
- No more than four goals have been scored at the end of three periods in 8 of the last 10 World Championship matches involving Finland.
USA vs. Finland: Match Prediction
The stretch in the current World Championship with uncertain games against Switzerland and Norway raised questions about the level of the American team, but overall, they performed quite steadily, and by the end of the group stage, there were no more doubts. Against their upcoming opponent, the USA currently looks like the favorite, while Finland needs a bit more skill in attack to level the playing field, as the American offense is currently dominant. Finland, however, is not as convincing in execution but compensates with better defensive actions and rationality. Nevertheless, I don't think this will be enough against the Americans, especially since they have already underestimated the Swiss and Norwegians during the group stage and have learned from it.
In the current World Championship, the USA has won in regular time in 5 of their 7 games. Additionally, the team has secured two consecutive victories in official head-to-head encounters in 60 minutes. Overall, the Finns do not look as straightforward and could endure and put up resistance in the upcoming meeting, so I wouldn't be so sure that the Americans will settle everything in regular time. Nonetheless, given their potential, the Americans should advance to the semi-finals in any case.
Prediction: USA to win the match
Hampton Slukynsky
Jeremy Swayman
Joey Daccord
Alex Vlasic
Brady Skjei
Cole Hutson
Jackson LaCombe
Michael Kesselring
Zach Werenski
Zeev Buium
Clayton Keller
Isaac Howard
Shane Pinto
Will Smith
Emil Larmi
Atro Leppänen
Jesper Mattila
Mikael Seppälä
Mikko Lehtonen
Rasmus Rissanen
Robin Salo
Tony Sund
Vili Saarijarvi
Ahti Oksanen
Eemil Erholtz
Hannes Björninen
Juuso Parssinen
Merelä Waltteri
Mikael Pyyhtia
Mikael Ruohomaa
