USA vs Sweden: prediction & betting odds February 17, 2025

The match between the USA and Sweden in the 2025 Four Nations Tournament will take place on February 18 at the TD Garden in Boston. USA vs. Sweden: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

USA

The Americans secured their second regulation-time victory in the tournament by defeating Canada 3-1 in their previous match, automatically qualifying for the final. Notably, the USA defeated Canada with their strongest lineup for the first time in 15 years. The team scored once in each period, totaling only 23 shots on target. Jake Guentzel stood out with a brace, leading the tournament's scoring race with three goals. The USA tops the standings with six points, being the highest-scoring team (9 goals) and the most reliable defensively (2 goals).

Matthew Tkachuk's participation in the upcoming match is in doubt. He suffered a lower-body injury in the last game. Tkachuk is among the tournament's top scorers and point-getters, with 3 points (2 goals, 1 assist).

• The USA has not scored more than three goals in regulation time in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters at the World Championship.
• The Americans have not won after three periods in their last four head-to-head meetings at the World Championship (2 draws, 2 losses).
• At least five goals have been scored in regulation time in 10 of the USA's last 12 matches in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championship.

Sweden

Sweden suffered their second consecutive defeat in the tournament, losing in overtime to Finland (3-4). Notably, in both cases, the team lost beyond regulation time. Sweden led twice during the match and started overtime more actively than their opponent, managing two shots on target, but conceded after the opponent's first attempt. With two points, tied with Finland and Canada, the team occupies the last position.

• Sweden has scored at least three goals in regulation time in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings at the World Championship.
• The team has not won after 60 minutes in 4 of their last 5 matches in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championship (3 draws, 1 loss).
• At least six goals have been scored in regulation time in 9 of Sweden's last 12 games in the Four Nations Tournament and World Championship.

USA vs. Sweden: Match Prediction

The Americans are objectively the best team in this tournament. Before the start, it was thought that their only challenge might come from Canada, who have a very strong lineup, just like the USA, but they deservedly defeated them. The USA has no weaknesses; even with a comfortable lead, they continue to press and match their opponents in character. Their attack is inherently impressive.

Sweden has not impressed and is the only team in the tournament yet to secure a win. Against Finland, Sweden was better at times in the last match, but the issue was execution. They didn't challenge their opponent enough, and Finland was simply more adapted to the realities they faced. Against the Americans, who are currently the best in the tournament, Sweden has little chance in the upcoming match.

Despite the USA having already secured a place in the final, they will not relax, especially since they have yet to drop points in this tournament. In 2 of their last 3 head-to-head meetings at the World Championship, the USA defeated Sweden, but only in overtime. However, the current level of the USA team clearly surpasses their opponents, so I believe this time the American victory will be convincing.

My prediction: USA Victory