USA will face Czechia in the World Junior Championship 2025 semifinal on January 5 at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. USA vs. Czechia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
USA
The Americans confidently secured their spot in the semifinals by defeating Switzerland 7-2 in the quarterfinals. The team scored twice on the power play and led by three goals by the 12th minute. Notably, Gabe Perreault provided three assists in this match, making him the second-highest scorer for the USA in the current WJC (2+5), trailing only Cole Hutson, who leads by one point (2+6). This marks the eighth time in the last ten years that the Americans have reached the semifinals of the tournament.
- USA has won in regular time in 8 of their last 9 WJC matches.
- At least six goals have been scored over three periods in 9 of the last 11 games involving the Americans in this tournament.
- The team has scored at least four goals in regular time in 7 of their last 9 WJC matches.
Czechia
Czechia expectedly defeated Canada 4-3 in the quarterfinals. The team led 3-1 by the end of the first period but allowed their opponent to level the score, eventually scoring the winning goal on a power play 40 seconds before the final whistle. Vojtech Gradec (4+4) and Jakub Stancil (5+3) have each tallied eight points in five tournament games, making them the top scorers for Czechia. This is the third consecutive time Czechia has reached the WJC semifinals.
- The team has won in regular time in 5 of their last 6 WJC matches.
- At least six goals have been scored over three periods in seven previous games involving Czechia in this tournament.
- Czechia has conceded no more than three goals in regular time in 8 of their last 11 WJC matches.
USA vs. Czechia: Match Prediction
The Americans have shown creativity in their gameplay across five matches in the current WJC. All four lines are performing consistently, and the USA has been steady so far. Czechia has impressed in this tournament, deservedly reaching the semifinals by defeating a lackluster Canadian team. However, Czechia's victory was aided by a crucial power play opportunity, making their path to the semifinals less straightforward.
I don't believe Czechia will be able to gain a similar advantage against the Americans, who have failed to win the first period only once in this WJC, against Finland, and start playing aggressively from the first minutes. Moreover, the USA's defense is strong, having conceded more than two goals only to Finland and Germany, the latter due to the USA's offensive prowess.
The Americans are expected to be highly motivated. After being among the medalists for two consecutive years and as the reigning world champions, reaching the final is a minimum goal. In 4 of their 5 matches in the current WJC, the USA has won by at least three goals in regular time, and in 6 of their last 9 encounters with Czechia in this tournament, they have won by at least two goals over three periods. I believe the Americans have a good chance of achieving a similar advantage this time.
My prediction: USA with a handicap (-2)