The Matchday 1 clash of the 2025 World Junior Championship between the USA and Germany will take place on December 26 at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. USA vs. Germany: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
USA
The Americans topped their group in the previous World Junior Championship and had a successful playoff run, defeating the hosts Sweden in the final (6-2). Notably, the team won medals for the second consecutive time, having claimed bronze in 2023, and in the last six years, the USA has only twice failed to finish in the top three of the World Junior Championship.
The team will continue to showcase an attacking style as they did last year. The USA squad for the upcoming tournament includes three top scorers from Boston College – Gabe Perreault, Ryan Leonard, and James Hagens. Notably, the first two were among the best in last year's championship-winning team.
- The Americans have won by at least four goals in 3 of their last 4 World Junior Championship matches.
- The USA has conceded at least two goals in 60 minutes in their last six games in this tournament.
- The team has not conceded in the first period against Germany in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters at the World Junior Championship.
Germany
Last year, Germany finished fifth in their group and, for the first time in four years, did not make the playoffs of the World Junior Championship. In the relegation match, Germany faced Norway and won in overtime with a score of 5-4. Notably, the team has never won medals at the World Junior Championship.
In the German squad, Julius Sumpf stands out, having scored 37 points in 29 games this season (16 goals, 21 assists) for Moncton. Special attention should also be paid to David Lewandowski, who has played 20 games for the Saskatoon Blades this season, earning 15 points (7 goals, 8 assists). The upcoming World Junior Championship will be his first.
- Germany has scored no more than one goal in regulation time in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings at the World Junior Championship.
- At least seven goals have been scored in 60 minutes in 6 of Germany's last 7 games in this tournament.
- At least two goals have been scored in the first period in 6 of Germany's last 7 matches at the World Junior Championship.
USA vs. Germany: Match Prediction
The USA has tremendous attacking potential, and in this regard, they can seriously compete at the upcoming World Junior Championship, possibly only with Canada, which also has a strong offensive line. Some USA players were part of the previous championship-winning team, so the team should resemble last year's version. In the last World Junior Championship, the USA was the most productive team during the group stage, scoring 29 goals and significantly distancing themselves from their competitors in this aspect.
Germany does not excel in defense, so the USA will have the opportunity to showcase their attacking prowess from the first match. In encounters with Germany, the USA has rarely faced problems in execution, scoring at least six goals in regulation time in 6 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings at the World Junior Championship. Additionally, in 4 of their last 6 games in this tournament, the team has delivered similar results. I believe the USA will confirm their level once again, so my prediction: USA Individual Total Over 5.5