The meeting of the 6th matchday of the 2026 World Junior Championship between the United States and Sweden will take place on january 1 at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul. United States vs Sweden: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
United States National Team
United States National Team secured their third consecutive victory at the current tournament, defeating Slovakia 6:5 in the previous match. Seven players on the team picked up two points each, including James Hagens, who recorded a brace. Alongside Sweden, the United States have won all three of their matches in regulation time at the tournament and have collected the maximum number of points so far; they are the only team to have done so. In terms of goals scored, the team trail Sweden in their group by just one goal, having scored 14. They have nine points and sit second in their group of five.
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- The United States scored at least four goals in regulation time in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings at the World Junior Championship.
- The team won after three periods in 6 of their previous 7 matches at this tournament.
- At least six goals were scored in regulation time in 8 of the last 11 World Junior Championship matches involving the United States.
Sweden National Team
Sweden National Team thrashed Germany 8:1 in their last World Junior Championship match, registering their third consecutive victory at the tournament. Ten players on the squad managed to record two points each, while Anton Frondell and Viggo Bjork both scored braces. In their group Sweden are the highest-scoring side with 15 goals; on average they score five goals per match at the current WJC. In addition, in their group they are the most reliable defensively, having conceded 5 goals. The team top the table with nine points.
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- Sweden won in regulation time in 8 of their last 10 matches at the World Junior Championship.
- The team scored at least three goals within 60 minutes in 9 of their previous 10 games at the World Junior Championship.
- Sweden conceded no more than two goals in regulation time in 6 of their last 7 World Junior Championship games.
United States vs Sweden: Match Prediction
Being not the most reliable side in their group, the United States concede on average 3 goals per match at this tournament. It was surprising how many goals the team allowed in the previous match against Slovakia. A convincing US attack compensates for defensive shortcomings, however, given that scoring does not pose much problem for the United States even as underdogs, Sweden β as the highest-scoring team in their group β should be able to exploit the goals that the United States tend to concede.
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We note that Sweden have scored at least three goals in regulation time in every match of the current tournament. In addition, in 4 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings at this tournament the team also managed to score the same number of goals within 60 minutes. We add that the United States conceded at least three times in regulation time in 3 of their previous 4 World Junior Championship matches.
Prediction: Sweden Over 2.5 goals