Poirier vs. McGregor: Bets and Odds on the Fight

The third meeting between Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor will take place on July 10th at UFC 264 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The main cards will start at approximately 11:00 p.m. EST. Like the previous two fights, Poirier comes into UFC 264 as an underdog, despite winning the last matchup. 

The first meeting between the two took place on September 27, 2014, in which the Irishman won by technical knockout in the first round. The method of victory was the same on January 23, 2021, only with Dustin Poirier winning in the second round. 

Odds for the fight McGregor - Poirier

Despite being defeated at UFC 257, Conor is once again the sportsbook favorite at -134. However, the sportsbook odds have significantly narrowed for the third meeting. Dustin has been on a winning streak since his last defeat to Khabib Nurmagomedov, is listed at +112. 

The odds on a draw between the fighters are fleeting, but do exist at +4900. UFC President Dana White, for one, would be delighted with the idea of the first ever fighting tetralogy in MMA history, but this outcome seems to be near impossible. 

Tale of the Tape: Poirier vs McGregor

Due to Conor’s more closed and compact fighting stance during the rematch, it would seem that Poirier will have an advantage in both height and arm span. However, the reality opposes that idea. Both fighters have the same height, and McGregor’s arm span is 5 cm longer. The second fight did serve as a good example of how an incorrectly chosen stance can neutralize anthrometric advantages. 

Conor McGregor


Dustin Poirier

27

Fights 

33

22

Victory

27

five

Defeats

6

0

No Contest

one

5'9

Height

5'9

6'2

Arm Span

6'0

155 lbs

Weight 

155 lbs

32

Age 

32

Conor McGregor

  • Former UFC light and featherweight champion, first fighter in UFC history to receive $1 million for entry into the Octagon.
  • Among the fastest knockouts in MMA history, two from Conor: Jose Aldo - 13 seconds, Patrick Doherty - 4 seconds.
  • Received $ 30 million for a boxing fight with Floyd Mayweather.
  • Professional record: 27 battles, 22 wins, 5 losses.

The first fight between McGregor and Poirier will forever be remembered as a bright spot of the UFC, and the rematch enflamed the grandstand matchup between the two fighters even further. For the conclusion of the trilogy, expectations are high for something charismatic and memorable. 

What is Conor McGregor’s Current Form?

Mac, as always, keeps fans updated with new workout photos. He is not depressed, but on the contrary, teeming with revenge. McGregor hardly needs another UFC belt, but his ego will definitely want him to shine in the third meeting. The inclusion of a big paycheck does not hurt as well. 

Conor has promised to carry out heavy work in resolving errors like dealing with problematic low kicks. However, the main problems were his endurance and stamina, which failed him in the rematch. It seems for the Irishman there is only one way out, to maximize the accuracy of his blows. 

What to expect from McGregor in a fight with Poirier?

The first and main thing will be the pressure. In the rematch Conor did not complete any of his attacks, several times letting the stunned Poirier go free. This introduced a new flaw of Conor’s technique, the lack of a final combination.

Last time, his blows came from a medium or long distance, but, as it turned out, their power and frequency were not enough to knock Poirier down. In the fights  with Diaz and Alvarez, Conor's final actions were much more confident.

This time, Mac will not be so careful, he will try to connect his legs more often and leave the line of fire, instead of mindlessly taking punches. 

McGregor's Chances of Winning

However, there should be no assumptions that a guaranteed and unconditional victory awaits McGregor. It makes sense to consider McGregor the favorite, but by a minimal margin - 53 to 47 percent. His accuracy and speed are still at a high level, and with a competent defense plan, there is certainly still enough to outfight the straightforward Poirier, who is unlikely to show anything new. 

McGregor knows that a loss here could bring irreparable damage to the Irishman’s beloved legacy. A defeat here could make an unwanted lasting impression. 

McGregor's last five fights

Rare fights and career breaks are clearly not good for Conor. In five years, he participated in only five fights, winning three: there were two knockouts (Cerrone and Alvarez) and one protracted fight against Nate Diaz.

Lost to Mac in a rematch with Porier, as well as in a title fight against Nurmagomedov.

Date 

Rival 

Result

Way

January 23, 2021

Dustin Poirier

Defeat

TKO

January 18, 2020

Donald Cerrone

Victory

TKO

October 6, 2018

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Defeat

Painful hold

November 12, 2016

Eddie Alvarez

Victory

TKO

August 20, 2016

Nate Diaz

Victory

Split solution

Dustin Poirier

  • Former interim UFC lightweight champion. 
  • Black Belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.
  • Winner of 12 different UFC post-match bonuses.
  • Professional record: 32 fights, 26 wins, 6 losses.

Unlike his opponent, Poirier is still hungry for the title race and is looking forward to completing the trilogy in his favor to fight the winner of the Oliveira-Chandler pair. The only question is whether his pressure and stamina are enough.

What is Poirier’s Current Form?

Even during long breaks between fights, Dustin keeps himself in great shape. His cardio is significantly better than Conors, and it's unlikely that this component of his game needs to be tightened more. 

His main task now is to think over a game plan for the third fight, because the ease of the last fight will be unlikely. There is the possibility that Poirier’s coaching staff will decide to switch the focus to a more heavy ground game. 

What to expect from Poirier in a fight with Conor?   

The fighter from Lafeyette, Louisiana’s victory in the second fight, unfortunately, did not come about from his excellent technique or striking. Poirier missed many accented blows and looked lost in the first round. He must understand perfectly well that McGregor could finish him off in these moments. 

What really worked well for Dustin were the quick takedowns, which clearly cut out the Irishman’s breathing and made him visibly nervous at the beginning of the fight. Against Conor, Dustin should show no hesitation, and go for the shock as quickly as possible. 

As for the third matchup, no major changes are foreseen here, except that this time it will be a little more closed during exchanges.

Dustin's Chances of Winning

Many fans are confident that the UFC leadership is ready to do everything to make Conor the winner of the Porier trilogy. We urge you not to believe the rumors or conspiracy theories when it comes to MMA betting. 

Dustin has a chance to repeat the success, but for this he needs a new gameplan. He has great speed and side kicks work great against Conor's standing defense. However, he has to do everything possible to put the Irishman in an uncomfortable position from the very first seconds (parterre, clinch). Only if he is able to do this will it be possible to talk about success.

Chances are high that we will indeed see a more focused and aggressive version of McGregor. He will probably be focused not on a drawn-out fight, but on a quick knockout. Irish coach John Kavanagh can take this moment into account, and then it will be extremely difficult for Dustin to defend against Mac's retaliatory attacks on counterattacks.

Poirier's Last Five Fights

In the last five appearances, Porier has received two knockouts and won twice by decision. Holloway and Hooker were able to withstand all five rounds against Diamond; Alvarez and McGegor went to the floor - both in the second round.

The only one who was able to interrupt Dustin's winning streak was the undefeated former UFC lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov. 

Date

Opponent

Result 

Way 

January 23, 2021

Conor McGregor

Victory 

TKO

June 27, 2020

Dan Hooker

Victory

Unanimous decision

September 7, 2019

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Defeat 

Surrender

April 13, 2019

Max Holloway

Victory

Unanimous decision

July 28, 2018

Eddie Alvarez

Victory

TKO

Frequently asked questions about Poirier vs. McGregor

When will the third fight between Conor and Poirier take place?

The duel between McGregor and Poirier will take place on July 10 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

What time is the fight between McGregor and Poirier 3?

The main card battles start roughly closer to 11:00 PM.

Where to watch the live broadcast of the Poirier vs. McGregor fight?

It is possible that this time the live broadcast can also be watched on ESPN+. Last time, the channel was broadcasting a rematch live.

What are the odds for McGregor and Poirier?

In the third fight, Conor is still the sportsbook favorite. They offer to bet on his victory with odds of -134 . At the same time, odds on Poirier are not far off. You can bet on Dustin for  +112 .

McGregor - Poirier: who will win?

MMA fans will have an even more equal fight, in which Conor will have only a slight advantage due to competent work on mistakes. Dustin is unlikely to implement a new technique, but at the same time he must maintain his vigor and attitude. That is why the sportsbook odds on Poirier and McGregor do not differ so much.