The semi-final match of the German Cup between Arminia and Bayer will take place on April 1 at the SchücoArena in Bielefeld. Arminia vs. Bayer: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Arminia
The team has reached the semi-finals of the national cup for the fourth time in its history. In the previous stage, Arminia defeated Werder 2-1 at home. Michel Kniat's side won in regular time in all four of their matches in this season's German Cup, scoring at least two goals in each game during this stretch. Interestingly, all of Bielefeld's matches have been played at home. Notably, Arminia has never reached the final of the national cup.
- The team has scored in six consecutive matches in the German Cup.
- Bielefeld has not lost in regular time in their last six home matches in this tournament (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in their last five home games in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Arminia (4-5-1)
Jonas Kersken – Christopher Lannert, Leon Schneider, Louis Oppi, Joel Felix – Marius Wörl, Mael Corboz, Sam Francis Schreck, Stefano Russo, Lucas Kunze – Julian Kanya.
Bayer
Leverkusen is one step away from their sixth final in the national cup. Until the last round, Xabi Alonso's side had no problems, winning three matches in this tournament without conceding a goal. However, in the quarter-finals, Bayer needed extra time to defeat Cologne (2-2, extra time 1-0). It's worth noting that the team conceded for the first time in six recent German Cup matches.
- Bayer has won in regular time in 9 of their last 10 national cup matches.
- The club scored first in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 7 of Leverkusen's last 9 away matches in the German Cup.
Predicted lineup for Bayer (4-5-1)
Matej Kovar – Jeremie Frimpong, Edmond Tapsoba, Nordi Mukiele, Jonathan Tah – Alejandro Grimaldo, Granit Xhaka, Florian Wirtz, Emiliano Buendia, Exequiel Palacios – Patrik Schick.
Referee
Harm Osmers (Germany)
Matches – 5 (German Cup, 2022/23–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 20%.
Arminia vs. Bayer: Match Prediction
Bielefeld has already defeated three Bundesliga representatives in the current German Cup, although Michel Kniat's team plays in Germany's third division. This success was largely due to the home advantage: Arminia was fortunate to play all matches at home. Moreover, the team has played six consecutive home games in the national cup, never losing in regular time (4 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, in their last 19 home matches in this tournament, Bielefeld has suffered only two heavy defeats.
Leverkusen ended their impressive regular time winning streak in the German Cup in the last round. Nonetheless, Xabi Alonso's team is on track for a second consecutive final in this tournament. Bayer is expected to overcome Bielefeld, but it won't be an easy victory. In the national cup, the team has achieved only one victory with a margin of at least three goals in their last five matches. Overall, Leverkusen has rarely thrashed opponents, with only one big win in their last 13 official matches.
My prediction: Arminia with a handicap (+2.5)
