The Matchday 30 Premier League clash between Arsenal and Everton will take place on 14 March at the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal vs Everton: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Arsenal
After beating Brighton in the previous round (1:0), the home side strengthened their position even further. After 30 Premier League matches, Mikel Arteta’s men have recorded 20 wins, while the team have now gone seven games unbeaten. Arsenal top the league’s defensive rankings and have scored the same number of goals as their nearest challengers Manchester City (59), whom Arsenal lead by seven points. In addition, the club remain in the Champions League and the FA Cup. That said, it is worth noting that the Londoners’ usually solid defence has shown some cracks of late: in four of their last five matches, they have conceded at least once.
- Arsenal have scored in eight straight league matches.
- Both teams to score has landed in five of the Londoners’ last seven home Premier League games.
- Over the last seven league rounds, the team have picked up five wins (two draws).
Potential Arsenal Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
David Raya – Gabriel Magalhaes, Piero Hincapie, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba – Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice – Eberechi Eze, Leandro Trossard, Bukayo Saka – Viktor Gyokeres.
Midfielder Mikel Merino is sidelined through injury.
Everton
In their last league outing at home, David Moyes’ side had no trouble seeing off one of the league’s strugglers, Burnley, winning 2:0 to make it two consecutive victories. At present, Everton sit eighth in the standings on 43 points, which is one of the club’s best returns in the last ten years. Previously, the team finished inside the top 10 only in the 2017/18 season. While the Merseysiders’ attacking output remains fairly modest, their defence deserves special mention: after 29 rounds, the team have conceded just 33 goals and are among the top three in the league in that metric.
- Both teams have scored in five of Everton’s last seven Premier League matches.
- On the road, the club are unbeaten in six consecutive league games (four wins, two draws).
- The team have scored in 10 of their last 11 Premier League matches.
Potential Everton Lineup (4-5-1)*
Jordan Pickford – Jarrad Branthwaite, James Tarkowski, Jake O'Brien, Vitaliy Mykolenko – James Garner, Iliman Ndiaye, Idrissa Gueye, Dwight McNeil, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall – Beto Betuncal.
Forward Jack Grealish is out until the end of the season with an injury. Midfielder Carlos Alcaraz is also unavailable due to a knock.
Referee
Andrew Madley (England)
Matches – 14 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second cautions) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 29%.
Arsenal vs Everton: Match Prediction
This fixture brings together one of the league’s best defences and one of its strongest attacks. Arsenal are undoubtedly the favourites, particularly at home, where the team have slipped up only twice in their last 20 matches, and on both occasions they lost by a one-goal margin. It is also important to note that the Londoners have a Champions League game during the week. The team can afford to rotate, but even with the congested schedule, Mikel Arteta’s men are unlikely to drop points in the league. If anything, the club will look to extend their advantage over their closest rivals and then focus on the other competitions.
Despite winning 12 league matches, Everton have beaten teams from the top four only twice – Manchester United and Aston Villa – and both times by the narrow scoreline of 1:0. However, those opponents are hardly comparable in quality to Arsenal. In the upcoming match, the Merseysiders are unlikely to change their approach, and, as a reminder, the team are in the top three for defensive reliability. A draw at the Emirates Stadium would also look like a perfectly acceptable outcome for the visitors.
Finally, in the last five Premier League head-to-head meetings, the Londoners have avoided defeat, and the number of goals has never exceeded three. That is another factor in favour of the pick below.
Prediction: Arsenal double chance + Under 3.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their most recent match in this competition.
