The Matchday 15 Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton will take place on December 7 at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa vs. Southampton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Darren Bond (England)
Matches – 6 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 0%.
Predicted lineups for Aston Villa vs. Southampton
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez – Matty Cash, Lucas Digne, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings – Youri Tielemans, Boubacar Kamara – Morgan Rogers, John McGinn, Leon Bailey – Ollie Watkins.
Southampton (5-4-1): Joe Lumley – James Bree, Nathan Wood, Kyle Walker-Peters, Jack Stephens, Ryan Manning – Mateusz Fernandes, Ryan Fraser, Joe Aribo, Adam Armstrong – Cameron Archer.
Each team has listed the starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament.
Aston Villa
In their last league match, Birmingham secured a 3-1 victory at home against Brentford. Prior to this, the team had gone five consecutive Premier League matches without a win, drawing twice and losing three times. Notably, Aston Villa's losses during this series were all away games, while at home, they remain unbeaten in five consecutive Premier League matches (2 wins and 3 draws). The club is near the European competition zone, trailing the top four by four points.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Aston Villa's last 12 Premier League games.
- Aston Villa has lost only three times in their last 12 league matches (5 wins and 4 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 9 of the club's last 12 Premier League games.
Southampton
The club suffered their second heavy defeat in this Premier League campaign, losing 1-5 at home to Chelsea. Interestingly, the last time Southampton lost by a margin of 4+ goals was in October 2022. Russell Martin's side is currently on a four-match winless streak in the Premier League (1 draw and 3 losses). The team remains at the bottom of the table, with a seven-point gap to the safety of 17th place.
Defender Jack Stephens will miss the match due to suspension.
- The club has won only once in their last 27 Premier League matches (6 draws and 20 losses).
- Both teams scored in 7 of Southampton's last 10 league games.
- The number "1" appeared in the final scoreline in 10 of the club's last 14 Premier League games.
Aston Villa vs. Southampton: Match Prediction
The victory over Brentford in the last round should boost the confidence of Unai Emery's team. Regardless of their poor away form, Birmingham is very dangerous at home, losing only once in their last 12 Premier League matches (to Arsenal), with five wins and six draws. It's crucial for Aston Villa to secure victories against lower-ranked teams, especially the league's bottom sides, as they still have a chance to return to the top four, given that their closest competitors occasionally drop points.
Southampton's recent match against Chelsea was telling. The club conceded five goals, and if the Londoners had not been mindful of their upcoming derby with Tottenham, and had exerted maximum effort, the score could have been even more lopsided. Russell Martin's side clearly struggles to match Premier League standards and finds it difficult to compete against teams fighting for at least a European competition spot. I am confident that the hosts will comfortably defeat the league's weakest team. Furthermore, Birmingham has won their last three head-to-head meetings, all with clean sheets.
My prediction: Aston Villa with a handicap (-1)
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