The Matchday 6 fixture in the group stage of the 2025/26 Champions League between Atalanta (Italy) and Chelsea (England) will take place on December 9 at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo. Atalanta vs Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
The Bergamo side began this Champions League campaign with a heavy defeat to PSG but then put together a run of four games without defeat (3 wins, 1 draw). In the last round Atalanta secured a convincing 3-0 away victory over Eintracht, recording their fourth big win across the last two Champions League seasons. Moreover, the Italians kept clean sheets in three consecutive matches in this competition. Interestingly, all six goals they have scored in the current group stage came after the interval. The club has ten points and sits tenth in the group.
- The team has failed to win in 7 of their last 9 home Champions League matches (4 draws, 3 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of the club's previous 11 matches in this competition.
- Atalanta did not concede in the second half in 5 of their last 6 Champions League games.
Predicted lineup Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Odilon Kossounou, Berat Djimsiti, Isaac Hin – Raul Bellanova, Ederson Lourenco, Marten de Roon, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Ademola Lookman.
Forward Kamal Sulemana is unavailable due to injury. Defender Giorgio Scalvini is doubtful with a knock.
Chelsea
Enzo Maresca's side demolished Barcelona 3-0 at home in the last round, recording their second big win in the group stage and marking the third consecutive game in which they have scored at least two goals. Chelsea have ten points and have moved up to seventh in the table. All three of their wins in the group stage have come at Stamford Bridge; away from home they dropped points against Qarabag. It is also worth noting that Chelsea have won their last three European matches against Italian clubs without conceding.
- The club has failed to win in 5 of their last 7 away Champions League matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
- They conceded in 9 of their last 10 away games in this competition.
- At least three goals were scored in 4 of Chelsea's last 5 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup Chelsea (4-5-1)
Robert Sánchez – Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Wesley Fofana, Yorrel Hato – Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Pedro Neto, Estevão – João Pedro.
Defender Levi Colwill, midfielders Dariu Essugu and Romeo Lavia, and forward Liam Delap will miss the game through injury. Midfielder Cole Palmer was left out of the matchday squad.
Referee: Alejandro Hernández Hernández (Spain)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 17;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 40%.
Prediction for Atalanta vs Chelsea
Both teams impressed in the last round, each scoring three goals, and the overall Champions League data suggests a high-scoring encounter between Atalanta and Chelsea. Atalanta are potent going forward at home: in their last five Champions League home matches they failed to score only once, finding the net ten times across that run. However, the Italians have been vulnerable defensively, conceding seven goals in the same period.
Chelsea also emphasise attacking play even on the road. In their previous 22 away Champions League matches they failed to score on only four occasions, and on 12 of those occasions the visitors scored at least twice. On the flip side, their defence has often been breached: in their last ten away games in this competition the Blues kept a clean sheet only once.
I am expecting an open game with several goals. My prediction: Total over 2.5
