The Matchday 22 clash in the Bundesliga between Augsburg and Leipzig will take place on February 14 at the WWK Arena. Augsburg vs. Leipzig: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Augsburg
Jesse Thorup's side shared the spoils with Mainz in a goalless draw in their last outing. Augsburg extended their unbeaten run in the league to five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), but for the first time in this stretch, they failed to find the back of the net. Overall, the club has scored 24 goals, with only three teams scoring fewer. In the league table, Augsburg sits in 12th place.
- In their last 6 Bundesliga matches, Jesse Thorup's side has not conceded more than one goal.
- At home, the team has not lost in 5 of their last 7 league matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 4 of Augsburg's last 5 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Augsburg (3-4-3)
Finn Dahmen – Keven Schlotterbeck, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima – Cedric Teuchert, Marius Wolf, Frank Onyeka, Kristijan Jakic – Samuel Essende, Alexis Claude-Maurice, Mert Kümür.
Forward Mergim Berisha is injured.
Leipzig
The team ended a four-match winless streak in the league (3 draws, 1 loss) by defeating St. Pauli 2-0 in their last outing. Notably, Leipzig kept a clean sheet for the 10th time in this tournament, equaling Bayern Munich in this regard. However, in the overall standings, Marco Rose's side is in 4th place, trailing Bayern by 18 points.
- The club conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, the team has not won in 6 of their last 7 league matches (2 draws, 4 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in 5 of Leipzig's last 7 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (3-4-3)
Peter Gulacsi – Lutsharel Geertruida, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba – David Raum, Bote Baku, Amadou Haidara, Kevin Kampl – Antonio Nusa, Xavi Simons, Benjamin Sesko.
Midfielder Xaver Schlager, defender Benjamin Henrichs, and forward Antonio Nusa are unavailable due to injuries, while defender Willi Orban is suspended.
Referee
Sascha Stegemann (Germany)
Matches – 9 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 22%.
Augsburg vs. Leipzig: Match Prediction
Jesse Thorup's side has been unbeaten in the league for a month, but in the upcoming round, Augsburg faces a challenging opponent. Augsburg has not won against Leipzig in 14 Bundesliga matches (5 draws, 9 losses). Marco Rose's side is not performing well on the road, but in the last five away matches in this tournament, Leipzig only lost to Stuttgart and Bayern. In Augsburg, they have only lost once, back in 2017.
The hosts of the upcoming match struggle in attack and rarely score more than one goal. However, Jesse Thorup's side is solid defensively: they rank sixth in the tournament for expected goals against (xGA). Leipzig is once again showing reliable defensive play, as evidenced by two consecutive clean sheets and leading the league in away clean sheets. Given the opponents' defensive records, I do not anticipate a high-scoring affair in this match.
My prediction: Leipzig will not lose and Total under 3.5 goals
