The Matchday 25 Bundesliga encounter between Bayer Leverkusen and Werder Bremen will take place on March 8 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen vs. Werder Bremen: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen
Xabi Alonso's side secured a commanding victory over their closest rivals in the previous round. The 4-1 win against Eintracht Frankfurt marked their 15th victory this season (8 draws, 1 loss) and extended their lead over Frankfurt by nine points. Leverkusen trails league leaders Bayern Munich by eight points. It's worth noting that their three-match clean sheet streak in the Bundesliga ended in the 24th round.
- Bayer scored first in 11 of their last 13 league matches.
- At home, the team has won 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament (1 draw).
- Leverkusen scored at least twice in 5 of their last 7 home Bundesliga games.
Predicted lineup for Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-3)
Lukáš Hrádecký – Nordi Mukiele, Jonathan Tah, Mario Hermoso – Alejandro Grimaldo, Granit Xhaka, Aleix García, Jeremie Frimpong – Florian Wirtz, Nathan Tella, Patrik Schick.
Werder Bremen
Bremen suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Wolfsburg in the last round. This loss marked their fourth consecutive league defeat, the longest such streak since 2021. During this span, Ole Werner's side conceded at least two goals in each match, accumulating a total of 49 goals against them. Only a couple of tournament outsiders have a worse record. The team currently sits in 12th place in the standings.
- Werder scored in 10 of their last 13 Bundesliga matches.
- The club has not won 6 of their last 8 away league matches (1 draw, 5 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of Bremen's last 12 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Werder Bremen (3-5-2)
Michael Zetterer – Miloš Veljković, Amos Pieper, Niklas Stark – Leonardo Bittencourt, Senne Lynen, Jens Stage, Felix Agu, Mitchell Weiser – André Silva, Oliver Burke.
Defenders Marco Friedl, Niklas Stark, and forward Marvin Ducksch are injured.
Referee
Tobias Welz (Germany)
Matches – 9 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 39;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 11%.
Match Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen vs. Werder Bremen
In early February, Bremen was just one point away from the European competition zone. However, ongoing squad issues have negatively impacted the team's results and their prospects in the standings. As key players continue to fill the injury list, there are no signs of improvement.
Based on xGA, Ole Werner's side ranks seventh from the bottom, but during the period from the 21st round, Bremen has the absolute worst performance in this aspect. The 13 goals conceded during this period in the Bundesliga highlight their defensive problems. Additionally, they suffered a defeat to a third-division team in the national cup (1-2).
Leverkusen boasts the second-most productive attack in the league. At home, Bayer scored at least two goals in 16 of their last 19 matches in this tournament. In the previous four head-to-head Bundesliga encounters with Bremen, Leverkusen netted 13 goals. Considering Xabi Alonso's side's involvement in the Champions League, I recommend a cautious bet on Bayer Individual Total Over 2.
