The Matchday 27 Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz will take place on March 30 at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Leipzig in the previous round. This loss marked their fourth in the last six league matches (2 wins), with the team failing to score in three of those defeats. However, they have scored 45 goals, the second-highest among the teams in the lower half of the table, where Borussia sits in 11th place.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in Dortmund's last 5 league matches.
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 7 home Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 3 losses).
- The club has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Julian Ryerson, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton – Maximilian Beyer, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Marcel Sabitzer, Karim Adeyemi – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer is injured.
Mainz
In the last round, the team drew 2-2 at home against Freiburg, extending their unbeaten run in the league to six matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Notably, Bo Henriksen's side has scored at least two goals in five consecutive matches in this tournament. In the main standings, the club is in third place, with only Bayern Munich (24) conceding fewer goals than Mainz (28).
- The team has scored first in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Mainz has not drawn in their last 9 away Bundesliga games (5 wins, 4 losses).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Philipp Mwene, Moritz Jenz, Danny da Costa – Dominik Kohr, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci – Jonathan Burkardt, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung.
Defender Dominik Kohr is suspended.
Referee
Daniel Schlager (Germany)
Matches – 12 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 17%.
Match Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz
Dortmund is favored in the upcoming encounter. However, the form of the teams, their recent results, and their standings do not allow me to agree with the bookmakers.
Dortmund has achieved only three wins in their last 11 league matches (1 draw, 7 losses). Their victories came against relegation-battling Heidenheim, Union, and St. Pauli. Even at home, the team has rarely delighted their fans, securing three points in just one of their last seven Bundesliga matches.
Last season, Mainz fought to stay in the Bundesliga, but now they are in the Champions League zone. Bo Henriksen's side is on a six-match unbeaten run in the league, during which they have won three away games. Notably, before this, Mainz suffered three consecutive away defeats, but all were by a narrow margin. Furthermore, in the current season, the team has not lost by more than one goal.
My prediction: Mainz with a handicap (+1)
