The Matchday 33 clash in Ligue 1 between Brest and Lille will take place on May 10 at the Stade Francis-Le Blé. Brest vs. Lille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brest
The Bretons ended a two-game losing streak in Ligue 1 with a 1-0 victory over Montpellier in the last round. However, this result did not affect their standing in the league table, as they remain in 9th position and cannot climb higher than 8th or drop below 10th. The match against Montpellier extended their scoring streak in the French top division to six games, while also ending a five-match run of conceding goals in Ligue 1.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Brest's last 6 matches in the French championship.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the club's last 6 matches in this tournament.
- At home, the team has not lost in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches (6 wins, 2 draws).
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-5-1)
Marco Bizot – Massadio Haidara, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Brendan Chardonnet, Kenny Lala – Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Romain Del Castillo, Kamory Doumbia, Mathias Pereira Lage – Ludovic Ajorque.
Lille
In their previous league match, the club ended a three-game winning streak by drawing 1-1 with Marseille. As a result, Lille dropped out of the Champions League zone in the Ligue 1 table, falling from 3rd to 5th place. They are behind their nearest competitor only due to an inferior goal difference. Nevertheless, Lille's scoring streak in Ligue 1 continues, reaching six matches. Additionally, after the last round of matches, the club is tied with PSG for the most reliable defense in the current championship, despite conceding, as both teams have 33 goals against.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of Lille's last 8 matches in Ligue 1.
- The club has failed to win in 8 of their last 11 away matches in the championship (4 draws, 4 losses), although they have won the last two.
- The team has conceded in 8 of their last 11 away matches in the French top division.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-4-2)
Léo Jardim – Thomas Meunier, Aïssa Mandi, Alessandro, Ismaily – Mathias Fernandez Pardo, Nabil Bentaleb, Benjamin André, Hákon Haraldsson – Chuba Akpom, Jonathan David.
Referee
Thomas Leonard (France)
Matches – 18 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 22%.
Brest vs. Lille: Match Prediction
The hosts have no tournament motivation, unlike the visitors, who are fiercely competing for a Champions League spot. In the last round, Lille complicated their task of finishing in the top four by failing to defeat Marseille at home. The team should be satisfied with even a single point, as they played worse than their opponents and equalized late in the match. However, such a scenario is unlikely to repeat in the upcoming game. Before facing strong and equally motivated Marseille, Lille won three consecutive Ligue 1 matches, scoring at least twice in each.
The Bretons, on the other hand, suffered two league defeats before their narrow 1-0 win over a struggling Montpellier. In each of these losses, Brest conceded at least three goals. Besides motivation and class, the visitors also have the advantage of recent head-to-head statistics: Lille has won 3 of the last 4 league meetings (1 draw), including a confident win in the first round of the current tournament with a score of 3-1.
Therefore, my prediction: Lille to Win
