The Matchday 23 clash in the Premier League between Brighton and Everton will take place on January 25 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton vs. Everton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Tim Robinson (England)
Matches – 8 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 13%.
Predicted lineups for Brighton vs. Everton
Brighton (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen – Pervis Estupinan, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Joel Veltman – Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari – Yanquba Minteh, Kaoru Mitoma, Joao Pedro Jesus – Danny Welbeck.
Everton (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford – Vitaliy Mykolenko, Jake O'Brien, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite – Idrissa Gueye, Orel Mangala – Abdoulaye Doucoure, Iliman Ndiaye, Jesper Lindstrom – Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Brighton
Fabian Hurzeler's side played their last two league matches away and managed to secure two victories. They first defeated Ipswich (2-0) and then overcame Manchester United (3-1). Before these wins, the team had drawn four consecutive matches. Brighton is currently ninth in the table, just four points away from the European competition spots.
Midfielder Julio Enciso is transferring to Ipswich. Defender Ferdi Kadioglu, goalkeeper Jason Steele, midfielder James Milner, and forward Evan Ferguson will miss the game due to injuries.
- Both teams scored in 12 of Brighton's last 14 Premier League games.
- Brighton has won only two of their last 10 league matches (6 draws and 2 losses).
- The team has not won the first half in seven consecutive Premier League matches (5 draws and 2 losses).
Everton
In the last round, the Liverpool side secured a crucial victory by defeating Tottenham 3-2 at Goodison Park. Notably, all three of their goals were scored in the first half. Before this win, the club had a six-match winless streak in the league (3 draws and 3 losses). With this victory, David Moyes' team moved four points clear of the relegation zone. It's also worth noting Everton's low scoring in the current league – 18 goals (only Southampton has scored fewer with 15).
Midfielders James Garner and Dwight McNeil, forwards Armando Broja and Youssef Chermiti will miss the match due to injuries.
- In their last 13 Premier League matches, Everton has only two wins (6 draws and 5 losses).
- At least one team failed to score in 10 of Everton's last 12 Premier League games.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of Everton's last 7 league matches.
Brighton vs. Everton: Match Prediction
Despite Everton's low league position and proximity to the relegation zone, they are not easy to defeat. In their last 19 Premier League matches, the team has only lost twice by a margin of two or more goals. However, expecting victories from Everton is challenging, as their scoring bursts are infrequent – in 11 of their last 13 Premier League games, they have not scored more than one goal.
I predict that the visitors can either avoid defeat or lose by just one goal. Brighton lacks consistency and often drops points at the Amex. The team has not won at home in their last four Premier League matches. Additionally, Fabian Hurzeler's side has not won by a margin of two or more goals in 17 consecutive home Premier League games. It's also worth noting that Everton has not lost to this opponent in four consecutive league matches at this stadium.
Therefore, my prediction is Everton with a handicap (+1).