The Matchday 35 clash in the Premier League between Brighton and Newcastle will take place on May 4 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton vs. Newcastle: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brighton
Fabian Hürzeler's side had gone five league matches without a win, drawing twice and losing three times. However, this winless streak ended in the last round with a 3-2 victory over West Ham at home. With four matches remaining in the season, the club sits ninth in the table, six points adrift of the European competition spots.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Brighton's last 8 Premier League games.
- At least three goals have been scored in Brighton's last 11 league matches.
- The team has conceded at least two goals in their last six Premier League encounters.
Projected lineup for Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Carlos Baleba, Mats Wieffer, Lewis Dunk, Pervis Estupiñán – Jack Hinshelwood, Yasin Ayari – Matt O'Riley, Simon Adingra, Solly March – Danny Welbeck.
Forward João Pedro Jesus will miss the match due to a three-match suspension.
Newcastle
The team quickly bounced back from a heavy 1-4 defeat to Aston Villa by thrashing Ipswich 3-0 at home in the following round. This was their third substantial victory in the last four league matches. Moreover, Newcastle has won 6 of their last 7 Premier League games. This successful run has propelled Eddie Howe's men into the Champions League zone, securing third place.
- The team's uncompromising league streak stands at 20 games (14 wins and 6 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in Newcastle's last six Premier League matches.
- Two or more goals have been scored in the first half in 8 of Newcastle's last 10 away league games.
Projected lineup for Newcastle (4-5-1)
Nick Pope – Kieran Trippier, Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schär, Dan Burn – Jacob Murphy, Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Joseph Willock, Harvey Barnes – Alexander Isak.
Due to injuries, defender Jamaal Lascelles and midfielder Lewis Hall will not play.
Referee
Craig Pawson (England)
Matches – 20 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 87;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Brighton vs. Newcastle: Match Prediction
Eddie Howe's men are still far from securing a Champions League spot for next season. The gap from the sixth place is just two points, so the visitors are approaching the upcoming match with maximum focus. While Newcastle can both win or lose heavily, I do not recommend betting on their victory; instead, pay attention to the high scoring potential in this encounter.
At least three goals have been scored in 13 of Newcastle's last 15 league games. Additionally, Newcastle's away matches in the current Premier League season average 3 goals per game. Brighton also has some tournament motivation – there's a chance to qualify for European competitions. Like their opponents, Fabian Hürzeler's men play high-scoring football – three or more goals have been scored in Brighton's last 11 league games. The average goal tally in Brighton's home league matches is also around three goals.
My prediction – Total over 2.5 goals
