The Matchday 28 Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa will take place on March 7 at the Unipol Domus Stadium. Cagliari vs. Genoa: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Cagliari
In the previous round, Davide Nicola's side suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Bologna. As a result, Cagliari endured their fourth loss in their last six league matches (1 win, 1 draw). Additionally, the club conceded more than one goal for the first time in four Serie A matches. The Sardinians remain in 15th place in the standings with 25 points. Notably, Cagliari has conceded 23 goals at home this season, only better than Verona (30).
- The club has not won in 6 of their last 9 home matches in Serie A (1 draw, 5 losses).
- The team has conceded exactly one or two goals in 5 of their last 6 home league games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 4 of Cagliari's last 5 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Cagliari (4-4-2)
Elia Caprile – Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto, Tommaso Augello – Adam Obert, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Nadir Zortea – Zito Luvumbo, Roberto Piccoli.
Forward Zito Luvumbo will miss the match due to injury.
Genoa
Patrick Vieira's side shared the spoils with Empoli in their last home game (1-1). Consequently, Genoa managed to collect points for the third time in their last four league matches, losing only to Inter away (0-1) during this stretch (1 win, 2 draws). The Genoese have accumulated 31 points and retained 12th place in the standings. It's worth noting the club's low scoring away from home this Serie A season: with ten goals scored, they are only ahead of Lecce (9).
- The team has not won in their last five away Serie A matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
- The club has not scored more than one goal in 12 of their last 14 away league matches.
- The Genoese have conceded a maximum of one goal in 7 of their last 9 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Genoa (4-2-3-1)
Nikola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Johan Vasquez, Mattia Bani, Koni De Winter – Fabio Miretti, Morten Frendrup – Junior Messias, Patrizio Masini, Alessandro Zanoli – Andrea Pinamonti.
Midfielder Morten Thorsby and forward Vitinha will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Mikael Fabbri (Italy)
Matches – 12 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 61;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 8%.
Cagliari vs. Genoa: Match Prediction
This will be a clash between two clubs that do not stand out for high scoring in this Serie A season. Cagliari, even at home, does not always impress with their attacking play: in 14 home matches this season, the Sardinians have only scored more than one goal in four games. Additionally, in seven instances during this stretch, the team did not score at all.
Genoa's attack is also not commendable, especially in away games. The club has played 13 away matches in this Serie A campaign, scoring more than once only twice, and failing to score in five encounters. However, Genoa defends confidently: in 7 of their last 9 away league matches, the club conceded a maximum of one goal.
I believe this match will not feature many goals, so my prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
