The Matchday 24 Serie A clash between Cagliari and Parma will take place on February 9 at the Unipol Domus Stadium. Cagliari vs. Parma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Cagliari
Davide Nicola's side suffered a 1-2 defeat at home to Lazio in the previous round. As a result, the team has now lost two consecutive matches and extended their streak of conceding goals to nine matches in the league. Cagliari is on the edge of the relegation zone in the standings with 21 points, sitting in 17th place. Notably, the Sardinians have conceded 21 goals at home this Serie A season, surpassing only two other clubs in this regard.
Forward Zito Luvumbo will miss the game due to injury. It is worth noting that before this round, Cagliari's squad was strengthened by the addition of forward Florinel Coman.
- The club has not won 12 of their last 15 home matches in Serie A (5 draws, 7 losses).
- The team has conceded at least two goals in 7 of their last 10 home league games.
- Cagliari players have scored a maximum of once in 9 of their last 12 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Cagliari (4-4-2)*
Elia Caprile – Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto, Tommaso Augello – Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Nicolas Viola, Nadir Zortea – Mattia Felici, Roberto Piccoli.
Parma
In the previous round, Fabio Pecchia's side lost 1-3 at home to Lecce. As a result, Parma failed to win for the fifth consecutive Serie A match (2 draws, 3 losses). Additionally, the club conceded at least three goals for the eighth time this season. In the standings, the team is in the relegation zone, sitting in 18th place, one point behind Cagliari. Parma's defensive play has been weak, conceding 42 goals this Serie A season, only better than Verona (48).
Midfielder Dennis Man, along with forwards Valentin Mihaila and Gabriel Charpentier, will miss the game due to injuries. Notably, the club has acquired forward Mateo Pellegrino ahead of this round.
- The team has not won in 24 of their last 25 away Serie A matches (10 draws, 14 losses).
- The club has scored no more than one goal in 6 of their last 9 away league games.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Parma's last 11 Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Parma (4-3-3)*
Zion Suzuki – Giovanni Leone, Alessandro Vogliacco, Lautaro Valenti, Emanuele Valeri – Simon Zomm, Anas Haj Mohamed, Mandela Keita – Milan Djuric, Matteo Cancellieri, Valentin Mihaila.
Referee
Marco Di Bello (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 25%.
Cagliari vs. Parma: Match Prediction
At the start of the current season, the Sardinians could not boast impressive attacking performances even in home matches. However, the situation has improved. In their first four home games this Serie A season, Cagliari players scored only one goal, but in the last eight matches, they have found the net 12 times. Meanwhile, the team's defensive play is not impressive: in 10 of their last 11 home league games, they have failed to keep a clean sheet, conceding at least two goals in seven of those matches.
Parma plays boldly and tries to spend as much time as possible in attack, even in away games. Since the start of the current Serie A season, Fabio Pecchia's side has failed to score in only four away matches, while in the other seven, they breached the opposition's defense, including against Inter, Juventus, Napoli, and Milan. However, the club consistently makes costly defensive errors and has managed to keep a clean sheet in only two of their last 37 away league matches.
I expect a high-scoring game in this encounter, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
