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Chelsea vs Burnley: prediction & betting odds February 21, 2026

The Premier League Matchday 27 clash between Chelsea vs Burnley will take place on 21 February at the Stamford Bridge stadium in London. Chelsea vs Burnley: prediction, betting odds and statistics.

Chelsea

Chelsea unexpectedly slipped up in their last Premier League outing, drawing 2:2 at home to newly-promoted Leeds. Prior to that, the home team had put together a four-match winning run in the league. The club remain fifth for now, just one point adrift of the top four. Chelsea also boast the third-best attack in the Premier League, having scored 47 goals. However, it is also worth noting that the team have conceded in nine of their last 10 league matches.

  • Both teams to score has landed in nine of the Londoners’ last 10 league matches.
  • At least three goals have been scored in eight of Chelsea’s previous 10 Premier League games.
  • The club are unbeaten in seven of their last eight home Premier League fixtures (four wins and three draws).

Potential Chelsea Lineup (4-5-1)*

Robert Sanchez – Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Josh Acheampong – Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo, Estevao – Joao Pedro.

Defender Levi Colwill and forward Estevao, as well as midfielder Jamie Gittens and goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen, will miss the game through injury. The involvement of defender Marc Cucurella and midfielder Dario Essugo is in doubt.

Burnley

Burnley surprised last round by beating Crystal Palace 3:2 away from home. Interestingly, all the goals in that match were scored before half-time, with the London side having led by two. As a result, the club’s lengthy 16-match winless run in the league came to an end (five draws and 11 defeats). It was also the first time in that spell that Burnley scored more than two goals. The team have not left the relegation zone, but have reduced the gap to safety in 17th to nine points. The club have also retained the unwanted tag of the division’s worst defence, having conceded 51 goals.

  • Both teams have scored in 10 of the team’s last 12 league matches.
  • Burnley have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last eight Premier League games.
  • In their last eight away Premier League fixtures, the club have managed just one win (two draws and five defeats).

Potential Burnley Lineup (3-4-2-1)*

Martin Dubravka – Maxime Esteve, Joe Worrall, Josh Laurent, Kyle Walker – Hannibal Mejbri, Lesley Ugochukwu, Bashir Humphreys, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony – Zian Flemming.

Forward Zeki Amdouni, defenders Axel Tuanzebe and Connor Roberts, and midfielders Mike Trezor, Josh Cullen and Louis Beyer are all out injured.

Referee

Lewis Smith (England)

Matches – 17 (the Championship, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 19;

Penalties – 6%.

Chelsea vs Burnley: Match Prediction

It is unlikely that the Londoners will drop points in a second straight home league match, especially against opponents from the lower half of the standings. Even so, the win is unlikely to be comfortable or straightforward. We think the visitors can make this competitive, with Burnley far more motivated than Chelsea. Survival in the Premier League is on the line. We therefore expect both sides to get on the scoresheet.

In their last 10 league matches, the Londoners have kept just one clean sheet. At the same time, Chelsea’s scoring streak in the Premier League now stands at 11 games. Burnley, meanwhile, are more interesting away from home, having scored in 13 of their previous 16 away Premier League matches. However, the team have conceded in each of their last 23 away league games. It is also worth noting that the last two head-to-head meetings between these sides at Stamford Bridge ended in draws (2:2 and 1:1).

Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes

* For each team, the starting line-up shown is from their previous match in this tournament.

Chelsea vs Burnley Odds

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Premier League: previous matches of the tournament

Chelsea
02/10/26
Chelsea
Leeds United
T
02/07/26
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Chelsea
W
01/31/26
Chelsea
West Ham United
W
01/25/26
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
W
01/17/26
Chelsea
Brentford
W
01/07/26
Fulham
Chelsea
L
01/04/26
Manchester City
Chelsea
T
12/30/25
Chelsea
Bournemouth
T
12/27/25
Chelsea
Aston Villa
L
12/20/25
Newcastle United
Chelsea
T
12/13/25
Chelsea
Everton
W
12/06/25
Bournemouth
Chelsea
T
12/03/25
Leeds United
Chelsea
L
11/30/25
Chelsea
Arsenal
T
11/22/25
Burnley
Chelsea
W
11/08/25
Chelsea
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
11/01/25
Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea
W
10/25/25
Chelsea
Sunderland
L
10/18/25
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
W
10/04/25
Chelsea
Liverpool
W
09/27/25
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
L
09/20/25
Manchester United
Chelsea
L
09/13/25
Brentford
Chelsea
T
08/30/25
Chelsea
Fulham
W
08/22/25
West Ham United
Chelsea
W
08/17/25
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
T
More games
Burnley
02/11/26
Crystal Palace
Burnley
W
02/07/26
Burnley
West Ham United
L
02/02/26
Sunderland
Burnley
L
01/24/26
Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur
T
01/17/26
Liverpool
Burnley
T
01/07/26
Burnley
Manchester United
T
01/03/26
Brighton and Hove Albion
Burnley
L
12/30/25
Burnley
Newcastle United
L
12/27/25
Burnley
Everton
T
12/20/25
Bournemouth
Burnley
T
12/13/25
Burnley
Fulham
L
12/06/25
Newcastle United
Burnley
L
12/03/25
Burnley
Crystal Palace
L
11/29/25
Brentford
Burnley
L
11/22/25
Burnley
Chelsea
L
11/08/25
West Ham United
Burnley
L
11/01/25
Burnley
Arsenal
L
10/26/25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Burnley
W
10/18/25
Burnley
Leeds United
W
10/05/25
Aston Villa
Burnley
L
09/27/25
Manchester City
Burnley
L
09/20/25
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
T
09/14/25
Burnley
Liverpool
L
08/30/25
Manchester United
Burnley
L
08/23/25
Burnley
Sunderland
W
08/16/25
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
L
More games

Head-to-Head: Chelsea — Burnley

Premier League 2025/26
11/22/25
Burnley
Chelsea
Premier League 2023-2024
03/30/24
Chelsea
Burnley
10/07/23
Burnley
Chelsea
Premier League 2021-2022
03/05/22
Burnley
Chelsea
11/06/21
Chelsea
Burnley
Premier League 2020-2021
01/31/21
Chelsea
Burnley
10/31/20
Burnley
Chelsea
Premier League 2019-2020
01/11/20
Chelsea
Burnley
10/26/19
Burnley
Chelsea
Premier League 2018-2019
04/22/19
Chelsea
Burnley
10/28/18
Burnley
Chelsea
Premier League 2017-2018
04/19/18
Burnley
Chelsea
08/12/17
Chelsea
Burnley
Premier League 2016-2017
02/12/17
Burnley
Chelsea
08/27/16
Chelsea
Burnley
Premier League 2014-2015
02/21/15
Chelsea
Burnley
08/18/14
Burnley
Chelsea
Premier League 2009-2010
01/02/10
Burnley
Chelsea
1
:
2
08/28/09
Chelsea
Burnley
3
:
0
More games

Standings

Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Arsenal
30 20 7 3 59:22 67
2
Manchester City
29 18 6 5 59:27 60
3
Manchester United
29 14 9 6 51:40 51
4
Aston Villa
29 15 6 8 39:34 51
5
Chelsea
29 13 9 7 53:34 48
6
Liverpool
29 14 6 9 48:39 48
7
Brentford
29 13 5 11 44:40 44
8
Everton
29 12 7 10 34:33 43
9
Bournemouth
29 9 13 7 44:46 40
10
Fulham
29 12 4 13 40:43 40
11
Sunderland
29 10 10 9 30:34 40
12
Newcastle United
29 11 6 12 42:43 39
13
Crystal Palace
29 10 8 11 33:35 38
14
Brighton and Hove Albion
29 9 10 10 38:36 37
15
Leeds United
29 7 10 12 37:48 31
16
Tottenham Hotspur
29 7 8 14 39:46 29
17
Nottingham Forest
29 7 7 15 28:43 28
18
West Ham United
29 7 7 15 35:54 28
19
Burnley
29 4 7 18 32:58 19
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
30 3 7 20 22:52 16
Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Manchester City
15 11 3 1 36:11 36
2
Arsenal
14 11 2 1 33:9 35
3
Manchester United
14 9 3 2 27:16 30
4
Aston Villa
15 9 2 4 21:15 29
5
Liverpool
14 8 3 3 26:16 27
6
Fulham
15 8 2 5 24:18 26
7
Sunderland
14 7 5 2 22:13 26
8
Newcastle United
15 8 2 5 28:24 26
9
Brentford
14 7 4 3 24:15 25
10
Bournemouth
15 6 7 2 21:15 25
11
Brighton and Hove Albion
15 6 6 3 22:16 24
12
Chelsea
14 6 5 3 23:16 23
13
Leeds United
15 6 4 5 22:20 22
14
Everton
15 5 4 6 18:19 19
15
Crystal Palace
14 3 6 5 14:18 15
16
Nottingham Forest
14 3 4 7 13:19 13
17
West Ham United
14 3 3 8 17:27 12
18
Wolverhampton Wanderers
16 3 3 10 17:31 12
19
Tottenham Hotspur
15 2 4 9 18:25 10
20
Burnley
14 2 4 8 15:23 10
Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Arsenal
16 9 5 2 26:13 32
2
Chelsea
15 7 4 4 30:18 25
3
Manchester City
14 7 3 4 23:16 24
4
Everton
14 7 3 4 16:14 24
5
Crystal Palace
15 7 2 6 19:17 23
6
Aston Villa
14 6 4 4 18:19 22
7
Manchester United
15 5 6 4 24:24 21
8
Liverpool
15 6 3 6 22:23 21
9
Brentford
15 6 1 8 20:25 19
10
Tottenham Hotspur
14 5 4 5 21:21 19
11
West Ham United
15 4 4 7 18:27 16
12
Bournemouth
14 3 6 5 23:31 15
13
Nottingham Forest
15 4 3 8 15:24 15
14
Fulham
14 4 2 8 16:25 14
15
Sunderland
15 3 5 7 8:21 14
16
Newcastle United
14 3 4 7 14:19 13
17
Brighton and Hove Albion
14 3 4 7 16:20 13
18
Leeds United
14 1 6 7 15:28 9
19
Burnley
15 2 3 10 17:35 9
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
14 0 4 10 5:21 4
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