The Matchday 4 clash in the 2025/26 Conference League between Fiorentina (Italy) and AEK Athens (Greece) will take place on November 27 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. Fiorentina vs. AEK Athens: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
In the previous round, Stefano Pioli's side suffered a 1-2 away defeat to Mainz. As a result, Fiorentina's winning streak in the Conference League, which lasted five matches, came to an end. Moreover, the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their last 11 Conference League matches. With six points, the Florentines have dropped to seventh in the standings.
- The team is unbeaten in their last 16 home games in the Conference League (11 wins, 5 draws).
- At least four goals have been scored in 5 of their last 7 home matches in this European competition.
- The Italians have scored at least twice in their last ten home matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
Tommaso Martinelli – Luca Ranieri, Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari – Dodo, Jacopo Fazzini, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Simon Zom, Niccolo Fortini – Cher Ndour, Roberto Piccoli.
Defenders Robin Gosens and Tariq Lamptey, as well as forward Christian Kouame, will miss the match due to injuries.
AEK Athens
Marco Nikolic's side drew 1-1 at home with Shamrock Rovers in the last round. As a result, AEK Athens avoided defeat for the ninth time in their last ten Conference League matches (4 wins, 5 draws). Additionally, the team extended their scoring streak in this European competition to seven games. The Greeks have collected four points and are currently in 15th place in the standings. Notably, the club has scored the most goals in the group stage (8).
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Conference League (3 draws, 3 losses).
- The club has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 away games in this European competition.
- Both teams have scored in 5 of AEK's last 7 away matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for AEK Athens (4-5-1)
Thomas Strakosha – Arol Mukudi, Lazaros Rota, Stavros Pilios, Filipe Relvas – Derek Kutesa, Mijat Gacinovic, Orbelin Pineda, Petros Mantalos, Razvan Marin – Luka Jovic.
Midfielder Niklas Eliasson will be unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Robert Jones (England)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 29%.
Fiorentina vs. AEK Athens: Match Prediction
Fiorentina has been very confident at home, often delighting fans with bright and high-scoring football. In their last ten home matches in the Conference League, Fiorentina has never left the field without scoring, and in none of these matches have they scored less than twice. However, in the current edition of this European competition, the team has only managed one clean sheet in five home games.
AEK, even away from home, tends to favor an active attacking style and regularly finds the back of the net. The team has played seven away matches in the Conference League since their participation in this tournament, failing to score only once. Furthermore, the club has scored in both of their away fixtures in the current group stage. However, the Greeks cannot boast a reliable defense, having conceded six goals in their last three away matches in the Conference League.
I anticipate an effective attacking display from both opponents, and my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
