The Matchday 22 clash in the Bundesliga between Heidenheim and Mainz will take place on February 16 at the Voith Arena. Heidenheim vs. Mainz: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Heidenheim
In the previous round, the team suffered a defeat away to Freiburg, extending their losing streak in the league to four matches. Frank Schmidt's side has conceded in five consecutive Bundesliga games. Overall, Heidenheim has conceded 43 goals, with only three other teams in the league having a worse record. They currently sit 16th in the standings, just one point above the relegation zone.
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 league matches.
- Heidenheim has lost 5 of their last 6 home Bundesliga games (1 win).
- The number "2" has appeared in the final scoreline in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Heidenheim (4-5-1)
Kevin Muller – Jonas Fohrenbach, Benedikt Gimber, Patrick Mainka, Omar Haktab Traore – Frans Kretzig, Adrian Beck, Jan Schoppner, Mathias Honsak, Luca Kerber – Budu Zivzivadze.
Mainz
Bo Henriksen's side shared points for the first time in 12 league matches (7 wins, 4 losses). The goalless draw against Augsburg in the last round saw them drop out of the European competition spots, but they are just one point away. Notably, Mainz has shown solid defensive form, with only 24 goals conceded, second only to Bayern Munich (19).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of their last 6 Bundesliga matches.
- Mainz has not won in 5 of their last 7 away league matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
- Bo Henriksen's side has scored in 10 of their last 13 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Dominik Kohr, Moritz Jenz, Danny da Costa – Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Silvan Widmer – Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel, Nelson Weiper.
Defender Stefan Bell is sidelined with an injury.
Referee
Felix Brych (Germany)
Matches – 8 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 38%.
Heidenheim vs. Mainz: Match Prediction
Matches involving Mainz are among the lowest-scoring in the current league season, averaging 2.7 goals per game. Bo Henriksen's side has excelled defensively, keeping 7 clean sheets, a record bettered only by Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig. Away from home, Mainz has not conceded more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches. However, in attack, Mainz has managed just one goal in their last three away games in this tournament.
Heidenheim has scored just 9 goals at home in the current league season, failing to score in 5 matches. While their defense is not the most reliable, they have avoided major defensive lapses recently. Heidenheim has faced Mainz three times in the Bundesliga, with none of these encounters producing more than two goals. I expect the upcoming game to be closely contested.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
