The Matchday 18 clash in the Bundesliga between Holstein Kiel and Hoffenheim will take place on January 18 at the Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel vs. Hoffenheim: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Felix Brych (Germany)
Matches – 7 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 43%.
Predicted lineups for Holstein Kiel vs. Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel (3-4-2-1): Timon Weiner – Marco Komenda, David Zec, Timo Becker – Finn Porath, Magnus Knudsen, Nikolai Remberg, Lasse Rosenboom – Suto Machino, Alexander Berardsson – Phil Harris.
Hoffenheim (4-2-3-1): Oliver Baumann – Stanley Nsoki, Kevin Akpoguma, Arthur Chaves, Valentin Gendrey – Diadi Samassekou, Dennis Geiger – Andrej Kramaric, Adam Hlozek, Tom Bischoff – Eren Derdiyok.
Each team has listed the starting lineup from their last match in this tournament.
Holstein Kiel
In the last round, Marcel Rapp's side unexpectedly secured three points against Borussia Dortmund (4-2). This result extended the club's uncompromising streak to 11 matches in the league (3 wins, 8 losses). The team is in 17th place in the standings, with a gap to the playoff zone reduced to 3 points. Notably, Holstein has conceded 22 goals at home in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season – the worst record among all participants in the current championship.
- The club conceded in the first half in 7 of their last 9 home games in this tournament.
- Opponents have scored at least twice in 7 of the last 9 home matches of Holstein in the Bundesliga.
- The team conceded first in 7 of their last 9 home games in the league.
Hoffenheim
In Matchday 17, Christian Ilzer's side lost to Bayern Munich (0-5). This result extended the team's winless streak to six matches in the league (2 draws, 4 losses). Failures in previous games have dropped the club to 16th place in the standings, with Heidenheim in 15th place only ahead due to goal difference. Notably, Hoffenheim has scored just 4 goals in away matches this season – the worst record among all Bundesliga 2024/25 participants.
- The team has not won in their last 8 away games in this tournament (4 draws, 4 losses).
- The club conceded first in their last 7 away matches in the league.
- The number "0" appeared in the final score in 4 of Hoffenheim's last 5 away matches in the Bundesliga.
Holstein Kiel vs. Hoffenheim: Match Prediction
The match between the league's bottom teams could end with any result, so I will focus on the total. Hoffenheim has been playing defensively in recent away games – excluding the last away game (0-5 against Bayern), the team conceded only 4 goals in 5 Bundesliga matches, and even kept clean sheets in two games during this stretch. Their attacking performance is worse – the club has not scored more than one goal in their last 8 away games in this tournament. As a result, opponents have scored no more than three times in 6 of Hoffenheim's last 7 away matches in the Bundesliga.
Also, note that the clubs occupy neighboring positions at the bottom of the standings and are fighting to stay in the league. In such games, opponents often pay increased attention to defense and try not to concede. I anticipate that there will not be many goals in the upcoming match. My prediction: Total under 3.5 goals
