The second leg of the Russian Cup 2025/26 RPL Path quarter-final between Krasnodar and Orenburg will take place on November 26 at the Ozon Arena. The score of the first match was 3-1 in favor of Krasnodar. Krasnodar vs. Orenburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Krasnodar
Murad Musaev's team defeated Orenburg 3-1 away in the first match. Thus, the team's unbeaten streak in regular time in the Russian Cup has reached six matches (5 wins, 1 draw). Notably, Krasnodar scored at least two goals in all but one of those matches. However, the club conceded in 9 out of their last 12 games in this tournament. To advance to the RPL Path semi-finals, Krasnodar can even afford to lose by a minimal margin.
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of Krasnodar's last 11 matches in the national Cup.
- The club has not won in regular time in 4 of their last 5 home matches in the Russian Cup (1 draw, 3 losses).
- At least one goal has been scored in both halves in 5 of Krasnodar's last 6 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Krasnodar (4-5-1)
Alexander Koryakin – Valentin Paltsev, Artem Khmarin, Vitaliy Stezhko, Giovanni Gonzalez – Gustavo Santos, Kevin Lenini, Danila Kozlov, Nikita Krivtsov, Gaetan Perrin – Kazbek Mukailov.
Forward Moses Kobnan and defender Sergey Petrov are injured.
Orenburg
The defeat in the last match was the fifth for Orenburg in the current national Cup campaign (1 win and 1 draw in regular time). To advance to the next round of the upper bracket, Ildar Akhmetzyanov's team needs to defeat Krasnodar by a significant margin. Their only victory in the Russian Cup 2025/26 was by a minimal margin. If Orenburg wins by exactly two goals, a penalty shootout will ensue. Notably, Orenburg has only defeated Krasnodar twice at the official level, both times at home.
- The team has scored no more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 games in the national Cup.
- Away from home in this tournament, the club has lost 5 of their last 6 matches (1 win).
- In 4 of their last 5 away matches in the Russian Cup, Orenburg conceded at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (3-4-3)
Nikolay Sysuev – Artem Kasimov, Stanislav Oleynik, Nikolay Koserik – Vladan Bubanja, Stanislav Poroykov, Pavel Gorelov, Vladislav Kamilov – Alexandre Jesus, Maxim Saveliev, Stepan Oganesyan.
Defender Alexey Tataev is injured.
Krasnodar vs. Orenburg: Match Prediction
In the first match, the score was level until the 88th minute. In the remaining time, John Cordoba scored twice, virtually deciding the outcome of the tie. Krasnodar has not lost in regular time in 15 of their last 19 home matches in the Russian Cup, with all four defeats being by a minimal margin. During this span, Krasnodar has scored more than two goals only twice. Considering the result of the previous match, I do not think Murad Musaev's team will strive for another convincing victory.
Under Ildar Akhmetzyanov, Orenburg has improved defensively. In five RPL matches, the team has not conceded more than one goal, even though three of their opponents were from the top 6 of the championship. In 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Russian Cup, Orenburg has not allowed more than two goals. Orenburg will continue their fight for the trophy regardless of the outcome, so they will not be desperate to attack and leave gaps in defense.
My prediction: Krasnodar ITM 2.5
