The Coppa Italia semi-final between Lazio and Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio S.p.a. will take place on 4 March at the Olimpico in Rome. Lazio vs Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio S.p.a.: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Lazio
The home team were stronger than Bologna in the previous round (1:1, on penalties 4:1). It is worth noting that the side drew in normal time for the first time in their previous 18 Coppa Italia matches (11 wins, 6 defeats). We should also add that Lazio have conceded in five of their last six matches in this competition. The club have reached the semi-finals for the second time in the last three seasons. The last time they came through this stage was in 2019, when the team went on to win the trophy.
- No more than two goals were scored in eight of Lazio’s previous 10 matches in the Coppa Italia.
- In this competition, the club have won nine consecutive home games.
- In five of the last seven home matches in the Coppa Italia, the home side have not scored more than once.
Potential Lazio Lineup (4-5-1)*
Ivan Provedel – Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini – Gustav Isaksen, Nicolo Rovella, Daniel Maldini, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Kenneth Taylor – Pedro.
Defenders Mario Gila, Manuel Lazzari, Samuel Gigo, forwards Mattia Zaccagni, Pedro and midfielder Toma Basic will miss the match through injury.
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio S.p.a.
The visitors brushed aside Juventus in the previous round – 3:0. As a result, the side have won four of their last six Coppa Italia matches, with both defeats in that spell ending 0:1. At the other end of the pitch, Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio S.p.a. have been clinical: they have scored 13 goals across their previous four matches in the national cup. The club have reached the semi-finals for the second time in the last five editions of the tournament, and they have only managed to get past this stage once in that period – in the 2023/24 season.
- At least one team failed to score in five of Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio S.p.a.’s last seven matches in the Coppa Italia.
- Away from home in this competition, the club have failed to win five of their previous six matches (2 draws, 3 defeats).
- In four of the last five away matches in the national cup, the away side have not scored more than once.
Potential Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio S.p.a. Lineup (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Giorgio Scalvini, Berat Djimsiti, Honest Ahanor – Giacomo Raspadori, Marten de Roon, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Ederson.
Midfielder Charles De Ketelaere and forward Giacomo Raspadori are injured.
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello (Italy)
Matches – 5 (Coppa Italia, 2020/21 - 2023/24);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 15;
Yellow cards per match (average) – 3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match (average) – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Lazio vs Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio S.p.a.: Match Prediction
Only two weeks have passed since the sides last met in Rome, when the away team won (2:0). Now they must decide who is stronger over two legs for a place in the Coppa Italia final. Given the importance of the match and the teams’ statistics, we are unlikely to see a high-scoring game again.
The hosts have produced phenomenal results in home cup matches: nine consecutive wins at the Olimpico. It is important to note that throughout this run they have never conceded more than once, and in six of those games they kept a clean sheet. However, things have not been as encouraging in attack. On home soil, Lazio have not scored more than once in five of their last seven matches in the national cup.
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio S.p.a. have traditionally been poor away from home in the Coppa Italia – just one win in their previous six matches. In four of the last five away games in this competition, the visitors have not scored more than once, even though the club have had no issues converting chances at home. Raffaele Palladino’s side will have the second leg in mind, so in the upcoming match they may be satisfied with less.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from its previous match in this competition is listed.
