Matchday 33 of Ligue 1 between Le Havre and Marseille will take place on May 10 at the Stade Océane. Le Havre vs. Marseille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Le Havre
The team ended a three-match winless streak in Ligue 1 (1 draw, 2 losses) by defeating Auxerre 2-1 in the last round. Thanks to this victory, Le Havre moved closer to the crucial 15th place in the league table, just one point behind, while also distancing themselves from the nearest rival by four points. A win in the upcoming match would guarantee at least a playoff spot for the club. By scoring against Auxerre, the team extended their scoring run in Ligue 1 to 13 matches. However, Le Havre has conceded in 19 of their last 20 matches in this tournament.
- The club won with a handicap (+1.5) in 7 of their last 9 league matches.
- Both teams scored in Le Havre's last 6 home matches in Ligue 1.
- The team has scored at home in 6 consecutive matches in the top French division.
Le Havre's predicted lineup (4-5-1)
Mathieu Gorgelin – Loïc Négo, Etienne Kinkoue, Arouna Sangante, Fodé Ballo-Touré – Junior Mwanga, Abdoulaye Touré, Yassine Kechta, Josué Casimir, Issa Soumaré – Ahmed Hassan.
Marseille
After two big wins in the French championship, Marseille drew 1-1 with Lille in their previous match. Despite dropping points in the last round, Marseille retained second place in the Ligue 1 table, although they are now just one point ahead of their closest rival. Additionally, Strasbourg, the sixth club in the championship, is only two points behind Marseille. It's worth noting that Marseille hasn't kept a clean sheet in their last eight Ligue 1 matches. However, their attack remains strong, ranking second in the league with 67 goals, behind only PSG, who have 85 goals.
- At least 3 goals were scored in 6 of Marseille's last 7 Ligue 1 matches.
- The club's winless away streak in this tournament is 5 matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
- Marseille conceded in their last 5 away games in the French championship.
Marseille's predicted lineup (4-5-1)
Gerónimo Rulli – Ulisses Garcia, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Leonardo Balerdi, Amir Murillo – Ismaël Bennacer, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Luis Henrique – Amine Gouiri.
Referee
Willie Delajoux (France)
Matches – 17 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 65;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 29%.
Le Havre vs. Marseille: Match Prediction
Both teams are tackling significant challenges as the championship draws to a close. Le Havre is fighting for survival, while Marseille aims to finish in the Champions League zone. Roberto De Zerbi's side is not just looking to finish in the top three but to secure the prestigious second place behind the unreachable PSG. After a disappointing March, Marseille has transformed, losing only once in Ligue 1 to Monaco. In the last round, the club was closer to victory in Lille, a challenging place to earn points.
However, the visitors have struggled to improve their defense, conceding even against lower-ranked teams. In their last 8 championship matches, Marseille has retrieved the ball from their net, conceding at least twice in half of those games. Le Havre, as noted earlier, consistently scores, extending their scoring streak in Ligue 1 to 13 matches. Both teams have immense motivation and need not just points but preferably victories. Therefore, I expect attacking activity from both sides, confident that the opponents will score against each other.
Moreover, both teams scored in 12 of Le Havre's last 13 league matches and 6 of Marseille's last 7 matches in this tournament. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
