The Serie A Matchday 28 clash between Lecce and Milan will take place on March 8 at the Via Del Mare Stadium. Lecce vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lecce
Marco Giampaolo's side were defeated by Fiorentina away in the last round (0-1). As a result, Lecce failed to win for the fourth consecutive Serie A match (2 draws, 2 losses). Additionally, the club has not scored a single goal during this stretch – this is their second goalless streak of such length in the current championship. In the standings, Lecce remains in 16th place with 25 points. Notably, the club has scored the fewest goals in the current Serie A season (18).
- The club has not won in 7 of their last 8 home matches in Serie A (4 draws, 3 losses).
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
- Lecce has conceded a maximum of one goal in 7 of their last 9 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Lecce (4-3-3)
Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Federico Baschirotto, Gabi Jean, Frederic Guilbert – Balthazar Pierre, Lassana Coulibaly, Medon Berisha – Jesper Karlsson, Nikola Krstovic, Tete Morente.
Milan
In the last round, Sergio Conceicao's side lost at home to Lazio, conceding a decisive penalty goal in injury time (1-2). As a result, Milan suffered their third consecutive defeat in the league – a losing streak not seen since the 2022/23 season. In the standings, the team has 41 points, which places them only in ninth place.
- At least two goals have been scored in the second half in 6 of Milan's last 8 away Serie A matches.
- The club has scored exactly one or two goals in 12 of their last 14 away league matches.
- Milan has conceded in 11 of their last 14 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Milan (4-3-3)
Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alejandro Jimenez – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Yunus Musah – Alejandro Jimenez, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao.
Defenders Emerson Royal and Alessandro Florenzi, as well as midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek, will miss the game due to injuries. Goalkeeper Mike Maignan and defender Strahinja Pavlovic are suspended.
Referee
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches – 12 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 1.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 25%.
Lecce vs. Milan: Match Prediction
Even in home games, Lecce often prefers to play defensively to achieve their main goal – to earn points. Many of the club's opponents have faced difficulties in attack – breaking through a packed defense has not been easy. In their last 12 home league matches, the team has conceded more than two goals only twice, and in eight of those games, Lecce conceded a maximum of one goal.
Although Milan regularly scores away, they cannot boast very high scoring efficiency. In 14 of their last 15 away Serie A matches, the team has been limited to two goals, and in nine of those matches, the club's players have scored only once. Furthermore, in 8 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters at Lecce's home in the league, Milan has not scored more than two goals.
I expect another defensive game from the hosts and do not think Sergio Conceicao's side will fully showcase their attacking prowess. My prediction: Milan individual total under 2 goals
