The 8th round match of the group stage of the 2025/26 Europa League between Lille OSC (France) and Sport-Club Freiburg (Germany) will take place on 29 january at Pierre Mauroy in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille OSC vs Sport-Club Freiburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Lille OSC
Lille OSC lost 1:2 away to Celta in the last round. It was the team's fourth defeat in five Europa League matches (one win). At the same time, the team conceded more than one goal for the first time in the previous four matches in this competition. The side have 9 points and occupy 21st place in the standings. The club can no longer reach the top eight; a win in the upcoming game will guarantee qualification for the playoffs, while dropping points could lead to elimination from the tournament.
- Lille OSC failed to score more than once in 5 of their last 6 Europa League matches.
- At home the team has not lost in 6 of their last 8 Europa League games (3 wins, 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 home matches for the side in this competition.
Potential Lille OSC Lineup (4-5-1)*
Berke Ozer – Romain Perrot, Alessandro, Thomas Meunier, Nathan Ngoy – Marius Brucholm, Nabil Bentaleb, Ngalayel Mukau, Haukon Haraldsson, Felix Correia – Olivier Giroud.
Forward Hamza Igaman, midfielders Nabil Bentaleb, Benjamin Andre, Andre Gomes and defender Usman Toure are out injured.
Sport-Club Freiburg
Sport-Club Freiburg remain unbeaten so far in the current edition of the competition. Although in the last round the side narrowly beat a rotated Maccabi Tel-Aviv 1:0. Freiburg recorded their fifth win in the Europa League group stage (two draws), and in three consecutive matches the team kept clean sheets. In total the club have four shutouts, and only Braga and Lyon have a better record (five matches each). The visitors occupy third place in the table, and one point will guarantee a place in the top eight. Even a defeat will be acceptable if Porto and Betis drop points.
- No more than three goals were scored in 6 of Freiburg's last 7 Europa League matches.
- Away the team has not won in 5 of their last 6 Europa League games (3 draws, 2 defeats).
- The club conceded in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this competition.
Potential Sport-Club Freiburg Lineup (4-5-1)*
Noah Atubolu – Maximilian Rosenfelder, Christian Gunter, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Troy – Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Yuito Suzuki, Jan-Niklas Beste, Derry Scherhant – Igor Matanovic.
Defender Philipp Lienhart and midfielder Daniel-Kofi Kyereh will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Damian Silvestshak (Poland)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 46;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 4.2;
Red Cards Shown – 1;
Fouls Per Match Average – 26;
Penalties – 55%.
Lille OSC vs Sport-Club Freiburg: Match Prediction
Lille OSC must win the final round to avoid relying on results from parallel matches. That will not be easy. The team lost 4 of their last 5 Europa League matches, and the immediate opponent is among the top three clubs in the competition. Without goals Lille OSC cannot take three points, but scoring has been inconsistent: 7 of their 11 goals came in two fixtures, one of which was against Dinamo Zagreb, who have conceded more than any of the first 24 teams.
A draw will be enough for Freiburg. It is unlikely the visitors will force the issue, and with a reliable defence they have a good chance of achieving the desired result. Sport-Club Freiburg have conceded only three goals, a figure unmatched by any other club. Moreover, the side have kept their goal intact for three consecutive Europa League matches. It should be added, however, that the club failed to score more than once in 5 of their last 6 away games in this competition.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* For each team the starting lineup from their previous match in this competition is shown.
