Matchday 25 in Ligue 1 between Lille and Montpellier will take place on March 8 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille vs. Montpellier: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
In the previous round, the club had an unsuccessful trip to PSG, losing 4-1. As a result, Lille conceded four goals in a match for the first time this season and suffered a three-goal defeat. The team is in 5th place in the standings, but the gap from the Champions League zone is minimal – only two points.
- In 5 of their last 6 home matches in the championship, at least 3 goals were scored.
- In Lille's last six home games in Ligue 1, both teams scored.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 9 of the team's last 9 home matches in the championship.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-2-3-1)
Luca Chevalier – Bafode Diakite, Thomas Meunier, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Alessandro – Benjamin Andre, Nabil Bentaleb – Ngalayel Mukau, Angel Gomes, Mitchel Bakker – Chuba Akpom.
Montpellier
In their last match, the club lost at home to Rennes (0-4). Before the start of the 25th round, Montpellier has the worst record in Ligue 1 for goals scored and conceded (21 and 58, respectively), as well as the fewest wins (4) and the most losses (17). As a result, the team is at the bottom of the standings, with a seven-point gap from the safe 15th place.
- The club has lost their last 5 matches in the championship.
- In 6 of their last 7 away games in Ligue 1, the team failed to score a single goal.
Predicted lineup for Montpellier (5-3-2)
Benjamin Lecomte – Enzo Chato Mbiayi, Bamo Meite, Modibo Sagnan, Kiki Kouyate, Theo Saint-Louis – Jordan Ferri, Teji Savanier, Joris Chotard – Andy Delort, Wahbi Khazri.
Midfielder Khalil Fayad is suspended.
Referee
Jeremy Pignard (France)
Matches – 11 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 27%.
Match Prediction: Lille vs. Montpellier
Montpellier is a clear candidate for relegation. As mentioned above, the team has the worst record in the championship for goals scored and conceded, as well as the fewest wins and the most losses. Their away record is also telling: the club has lost 10 of their last 11 away matches in Ligue 1.
Currently, in the French championship, it's hard to find a team that wouldn't be a favorite against Jean-Louis Gasset's side. Obviously, Lille, fighting for a place in the Champions League zone, is much stronger. They are 13 places higher in the standings. Head-to-head statistics also suggest a victory for the hosts: Lille has won 5 of the last 7 meetings in Ligue 1. Moreover, they have beaten Montpellier in their last three home matches in the championship.
My prediction: Lille to win
