The Matchday 21 fixture in the Bundesliga between Mainz and Augsburg will take place on February 8 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Augsburg: prediction and statistics.
Mainz
Bo Henriksen's side suffered a 0-1 defeat away to Werder in the last round, marking their third loss in four Bundesliga matches (1 win). Additionally, the team failed to score for the fifth time this season. In the standings, the club remains in 6th place, but their gap to the Champions League spots has increased to two points.
Midfielder Anthony Caci will miss the match due to suspension, and defender Stefan Bell is out for several weeks with an injury.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 4 of Mainz's last 5 Bundesliga matches.
- The club has a five-match winning streak at home in the league.
- The team has scored at least two goals in their last 5 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Dominik Kohr, Stefan Bell, Danny da Costa – Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci – Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel, Nelson Weiper.
Augsburg
The team was unable to secure a fourth consecutive league win in the last round. The away game against St. Pauli ended in a 1-1 draw for Jess Thorup's side. Nevertheless, Augsburg avoided defeat in four consecutive Bundesliga matches for the first time in the 2024/25 season. In the standings, the club is in 12th place with a comfortable 14-point cushion from the relegation zone.
Forward Mergim Berisha is sidelined with an injury. Defender Dimitris Giannoulis is unavailable due to yellow card accumulation.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 4 of Augsburg's last 5 league games.
- The team has not lost in 5 of their last 7 away Bundesliga matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
- The club has scored against their upcoming opponent in 15 consecutive meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Augsburg (3-4-3)
Finn Dahmen – Noah Katterbach, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima – Dimitris Giannoulis, Marius Wolf, Frank Onyeka, Kristijan Jakic – Samuel Essende, Alexis Claude-Maurice, Elvis Rexhbecaj.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Augsburg
Jess Thorup's team will face one of the league's most reliable defenses for the second consecutive round. In the previous match, Augsburg struggled to score, managing only one shot on target and an xG of 0.19. There was hope for Mergim Berisha's return, but the forward is injured. Therefore, an increase in creativity is not expected in the near future, and attacking issues seem persistent as the club ranks last in the tournament for chances created.
Only two teams have conceded fewer goals than Mainz in the 2024/25 Bundesliga. Bo Henriksen's side displays solid defensive play, and at home, they can even contain opponents like Bayern, who managed just one goal at the Mewa Arena. Notably, this is the only goal Mainz has conceded in their last four home league matches.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
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