The Matchday 21 Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Augsburg will take place on February 8 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Augsburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
Bo Henriksen's side suffered a 0-1 defeat away to Werder Bremen in the previous round, marking their third loss in the last four Bundesliga matches (1 win). Additionally, the team failed to find the net for the fifth time this season. Mainz remains in 6th place in the standings, but their gap from the Champions League zone has increased to two points.
Midfielder Anthony Caci will miss the match due to suspension, while defender Stefan Bell is sidelined for several weeks with an injury.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 4 of Mainz's last 5 Bundesliga matches.
- The team is on a five-match winning streak at home in the league.
- Mainz has scored at least two goals in their last 5 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Dominik Kohr, Stefan Bell, Danny da Costa – Philipp Mwene, Nadim Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci – Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel, Nelson Weiper.
Augsburg
In the previous round, the team failed to secure a fourth consecutive victory in the league. The away match against St. Pauli ended in a 1-1 draw for Jess Thorup's side. Nevertheless, Augsburg avoided defeat in four consecutive Bundesliga matches for the first time in the 2024/25 season. The club is comfortably positioned in 12th place in the standings, 14 points clear of the relegation zone.
Forward Mergim Berisha is in the team's infirmary. Defender Dimitris Giannoulis is unavailable due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 4 of Augsburg's last 5 league games.
- The team has avoided defeat in 5 of their last 7 away Bundesliga matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
- Augsburg has scored against their upcoming opponent in 15 consecutive meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Augsburg (3-4-3)
Finn Dahmen – Noa Kay Banks, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima – Dimitris Giannoulis, Marius Wolf, Frank Onyeka, Kristijan Jakic – Samuel Essende, Alexis Claude-Maurice, Elvis Rexhbecaj.
Referee
Daniel Schlager (Germany)
Matches – 9 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 22%.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Augsburg
Jess Thorup's side will once again face one of the most reliable defenses in the tournament. In the previous match, Augsburg struggled to score, managing just one shot on target and an xG of 0.19. The team had hoped for the return of Mergim Berisha, but the forward sustained an injury. Therefore, an increase in creativity is not expected in the upcoming matches. The team's attacking problems seem persistent, as they rank last in the tournament for chances created.
Only two teams have conceded fewer goals than Mainz in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season. Bo Henriksen's side demonstrates solid defensive play, and at home, they can contain even opponents like Bayern Munich, who managed just one goal at the Mewa Arena. Notably, this was the only goal Mainz conceded in their last four home league matches.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
