The Matchday 3 clash in the 2025/26 Europa League between Mainz (Germany) and Zrinjski (Bosnia and Herzegovina) will take place on October 23 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Zrinjski: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
In the first round, Bo Henriksen's side defeated Omonia away (1-0). As a result, Mainz achieved two consecutive victories for the first time in their European competition history. Furthermore, the team managed to keep a clean sheet for the third time in their last five European matches. Notably, the club has scored in 12 of their last 13 European games. The Germans are in 13th place in the overall stage standings.
- The team is unbeaten in their last six home matches in European competitions (3 wins, 3 draws).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in their last six home games in European competitions.
- Mainz has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches in European club tournaments.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Kacper Potulski – Philipp Mwene, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Nicolas Ferachnig – Paul Nebel, Armindo Sieb, Arno Norden.
Defender Anthony Caci will miss the match due to injury.
Zrinjski
Igor Stimac's side left no chance for Lincoln Red Imps in their home match in the first round (5-0). As a result, Zrinjski achieved their first-ever big win in the Conference League. Additionally, this victory was only the third in their last 12 matches in this European competition (1 draw, 8 losses). It is also worth noting that the team managed to keep a clean sheet for only the second time in their last 14 Conference League games. The Bosnians top the overall stage standings.
- The club has lost 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Conference League.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 5 of the team's last 7 away matches in this European competition.
- The Bosnians have conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 away matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Zrinjski (4-5-1)
Goran Karačić – Marko Vranjković, Slobodan Jakovljević, Duje Dujmović, Petar Mamić – Karlo Abramović, Neven Đurašek, Antonio Ivanić, Igor Savić, Mario Cuže – Nemanja Bilbija.
Referee
Jamie Robinson (Northern Ireland)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 17%.
Mainz vs. Zrinjski: Match Prediction
The Germans do not have extensive European competition experience and even against lower-ranked opponents, they do not always deliver high-scoring performances. In six home matches in European competitions, Mainz has only once scored more than two goals, and in four instances, they were limited to just one goal. Additionally, in 14 of their last 15 Bundesliga home matches, the club has not scored more than two goals.
While Zrinjski rarely achieves positive results away, they do not allow their opponents much: in their last nine Conference League matches, the Bosnians have conceded more than two goals only once. Furthermore, during this period, they faced opponents like AZ Alkmaar and Aston Villa, who each scored only one goal against Zrinjski.
I believe the Germans will not score more than two goals against the visitors. My prediction: Mainz Individual Total Under 2.5
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
